Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.622.85safe0.26–2.200.77–2.481.03–4.68safer0.01–2.450.54–2.710.55–5.16
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.894.938.82safe2.03–5.753.18–6.675.21–12.42safer1.54–6.242.72–7.134.26–13.38
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6114.0024.61safe6.68–14.5310.44–17.5717.12–32.10safer5.59–15.629.48–18.5215.07–34.15
Shots in box
26%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.409.4816.88safe4.46–10.356.80–12.1611.26–22.50safer3.63–11.176.06–12.909.69–24.07
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.417.03safe0.74–4.512.75–6.063.50–10.57safer0.20–5.052.26–6.552.46–11.60
Corners
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.069.13safe1.85–6.283.06–7.064.92–13.34safer1.28–6.852.53–7.603.81–14.45
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction43.6557.39safe36.86–50.4450.61–64.18safer35.19–52.1148.94–65.85
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction395492887safe328–462426–559754–1021safer310–481408–576718–1057
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.8674.97safe58.84–66.8970.64–79.29safer57.54–68.1969.33–80.60
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9913.2624.25safe8.15–13.8310.31–16.2018.47–30.03safer7.40–14.589.56–16.9516.96–31.54
Offsides
68%
14%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.491.885.37safe2.33–4.650.78–2.973.11–7.62safer2.03–4.950.49–3.262.52–8.21
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.943.76safe0.78–2.880.81–3.061.58–5.94safer0.51–3.140.51–3.361.03–6.50
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.85
GK saves
50%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.142.645.78safe1.71–4.581.08–4.202.79–8.78safer1.32–4.970.66–4.621.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.89 2.03–5.75 1.54–6.24 | 4.93 3.18–6.67 2.72–7.13 | 8.82 5.21–12.42 4.26–13.38 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 10.61 6.68–14.53 5.59–15.62 | 14.00 10.44–17.57 9.48–18.52 | 24.61 17.12–32.10 15.07–34.15 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.35 3.63–11.17 | 9.48 6.80–12.16 6.06–12.90 | 16.88 11.26–22.50 9.69–24.07 | 26% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.51 0.20–5.05 | 4.41 2.75–6.06 2.26–6.55 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 4.07 1.85–6.28 1.28–6.85 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.60 | 9.13 4.92–13.34 3.81–14.45 | 31% 56% |
| Possession % | 43.65 36.86–50.44 35.19–52.11 | 57.39 50.61–64.18 48.94–65.85 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 395 328–462 310–481 | 492 426–559 408–576 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.86 58.84–66.89 57.54–68.19 | 74.97 70.64–79.29 69.33–80.60 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.83 7.40–14.58 | 13.26 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 24.25 18.47–30.03 16.96–31.54 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 3.49 2.33–4.65 2.03–4.95 | 1.88 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 5.37 3.11–7.62 2.52–8.21 | 68% 14% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 1.94 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.36 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.14 1.71–4.58 1.32–4.97 | 2.64 1.08–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.78 2.79–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 50% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.