Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.972.91safe0.97–2.910.11–1.821.08–4.73safer0.72–3.160.00–2.050.61–5.21
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.913.369.27safe4.05–7.781.62–5.105.67–12.88safer3.56–8.271.15–5.574.71–13.83
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0310.8527.88safe13.10–20.957.29–14.4220.39–35.37safer12.01–22.046.33–15.3818.34–37.42
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.616.9718.58safe8.67–14.554.29–9.6612.96–24.21safer7.84–15.383.56–10.3911.39–25.77
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.552.777.31safe2.66–6.431.11–4.423.78–10.85safer2.12–6.970.62–4.912.74–11.88
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.5410.07safe4.31–8.741.54–5.545.85–14.28safer3.74–9.311.01–6.084.75–15.39
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.4142.35safe50.62–64.2035.57–49.14safer48.95–65.8733.89–50.81
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction557386943safe490–624320–453810–1077safer472–643302–470774–1113
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction74.4969.42safe70.46–78.5265.09–73.74safer69.17–79.8163.79–75.05
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1311.9323.06safe8.29–13.978.99–14.8817.28–28.84safer7.53–14.728.24–15.6315.77–30.35
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.953.69safe0.58–2.900.85–3.041.44–5.94safer0.28–3.200.57–3.330.85–6.53
Yellow cards
30%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.853.28safe0.38–2.470.72–2.981.10–5.46safer0.11–2.740.43–3.270.54–6.01
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.926.51safe1.15–4.022.37–5.483.52–9.50safer0.76–4.411.94–5.902.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.91 4.05–7.78 3.56–8.27 | 3.36 1.62–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.03 13.10–20.95 12.01–22.04 | 10.85 7.29–14.42 6.33–15.38 | 27.88 20.39–35.37 18.34–37.42 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.61 8.67–14.55 7.84–15.38 | 6.97 4.29–9.66 3.56–10.39 | 18.58 12.96–24.21 11.39–25.77 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.55 2.66–6.43 2.12–6.97 | 2.77 1.11–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 7.31 3.78–10.85 2.74–11.88 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.31–8.74 3.74–9.31 | 3.54 1.54–5.54 1.01–6.08 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 57.41 50.62–64.20 48.95–65.87 | 42.35 35.57–49.14 33.89–50.81 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 557 490–624 472–643 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 943 810–1077 774–1113 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.49 70.46–78.52 69.17–79.81 | 69.42 65.09–73.74 63.79–75.05 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.97 7.53–14.72 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 23.06 17.28–28.84 15.77–30.35 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.69 1.44–5.94 0.85–6.53 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.01 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.92 2.37–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.