Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.272.55safe0.32–2.260.41–2.120.73–4.38safer0.07–2.510.18–2.350.25–4.86
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.128.59safe2.61–6.342.38–5.864.99–12.20safer2.12–6.831.91–6.334.03–13.15
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3911.8325.22safe9.47–17.328.26–15.3917.73–32.71safer8.38–18.417.31–16.3515.68–34.76
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.838.4316.26safe4.89–10.785.75–11.1110.64–21.89safer4.06–11.615.01–11.859.07–23.45
Blocked shots
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.237.34safe2.23–5.991.58–4.883.80–10.87safer1.68–6.541.08–5.372.77–11.91
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.074.839.91safe2.86–7.292.83–6.835.69–14.12safer2.29–7.862.30–7.374.59–15.23
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.4847.78safe45.69–59.2740.99–54.56safer44.02–60.9439.32–56.23
Passes
71%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction480413893safe413–547346–479759–1026safer395–565329–497723–1062
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction65.2267.74safe61.19–69.2563.42–72.06safer59.90–70.5462.11–73.37
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6011.4122.01safe7.76–13.448.47–14.3616.23–27.80safer7.01–14.197.72–15.1114.73–29.30
Offsides
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.622.94safe0.15–2.470.53–2.720.68–5.19safer0.00–2.770.24–3.010.09–5.78
Yellow cards
29%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.003.49safe0.44–2.540.87–3.131.31–5.67safer0.17–2.800.58–3.420.75–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.663.055.71safe1.22–4.091.50–4.612.72–8.70safer0.83–4.481.07–5.031.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.12–6.83 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.47–17.32 8.38–18.41 | 11.83 8.26–15.39 7.31–16.35 | 25.22 17.73–32.71 15.68–34.76 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.78 4.06–11.61 | 8.43 5.75–11.11 5.01–11.85 | 16.26 10.64–21.89 9.07–23.45 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.77–11.91 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.29–7.86 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.37 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 52.48 45.69–59.27 44.02–60.94 | 47.78 40.99–54.56 39.32–56.23 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–565 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 71% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.22 61.19–69.25 59.90–70.54 | 67.74 63.42–72.06 62.11–73.37 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.44 7.01–14.19 | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 22.01 16.23–27.80 14.73–29.30 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 1.62 0.53–2.72 0.24–3.01 | 2.94 0.68–5.19 0.09–5.78 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.23 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 5.71 2.72–8.70 1.91–9.52 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+