Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.122.82safe0.74–2.670.26–1.971.00–4.64safer0.48–2.920.04–2.200.52–5.12
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.114.019.12safe3.25–6.972.27–5.755.52–12.73safer2.76–7.461.80–6.224.56–13.68
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4111.3125.72safe10.48–18.337.75–14.8718.23–33.21safer9.39–19.426.79–15.8316.18–35.26
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.217.7216.93safe6.27–12.155.04–10.4011.31–22.55safer5.44–12.984.30–11.149.74–24.12
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.086.96safe2.00–5.761.43–4.743.43–10.50safer1.45–6.300.94–5.232.39–11.53
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.229.69safe3.26–7.682.22–6.225.48–13.91safer2.68–8.261.69–6.754.37–15.01
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.5348.27safe45.74–59.3241.49–55.06safer44.07–60.9939.82–56.73
Passes
67%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction498444942safe431–566377–510809–1076safer413–584360–528773–1112
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction71.6673.18safe67.63–75.6968.85–77.50safer66.34–76.9867.54–78.81
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7311.0322.76safe8.89–14.578.08–13.9716.98–28.54safer8.14–15.337.33–14.7215.47–30.05
Offsides
22%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.863.084.94safe0.70–3.031.98–4.172.69–7.19safer0.40–3.331.69–4.462.10–7.78
Yellow cards
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.933.77safe0.79–2.880.80–3.061.59–5.95safer0.52–3.150.51–3.351.03–6.50
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.265.99safe1.30–4.171.70–4.823.00–8.98safer0.91–4.561.28–5.242.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.74–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.25–6.97 2.76–7.46 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.41 10.48–18.33 9.39–19.42 | 11.31 7.75–14.87 6.79–15.83 | 25.72 18.23–33.21 16.18–35.26 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.21 6.27–12.15 5.44–12.98 | 7.72 5.04–10.40 4.30–11.14 | 16.93 11.31–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.08 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 6.96 3.43–10.50 2.39–11.53 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.53 45.74–59.32 44.07–60.99 | 48.27 41.49–55.06 39.82–56.73 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 498 431–566 413–584 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 67% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.66 67.63–75.69 66.34–76.98 | 73.18 68.85–77.50 67.54–78.81 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 11.03 8.08–13.97 7.33–14.72 | 22.76 16.98–28.54 15.47–30.05 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 3.08 1.98–4.17 1.69–4.46 | 4.94 2.69–7.19 2.10–7.78 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 3.26 1.70–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.19–9.80 | 33% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.