Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.123.16safe1.07–3.010.26–1.971.33–4.98safer0.82–3.260.04–2.200.85–5.46
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.3710.60safe4.36–8.092.63–6.126.99–14.20safer3.87–8.572.17–6.586.04–15.16
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction17.9012.1330.03safe13.97–21.828.57–15.6922.54–37.52safer12.88–22.917.61–16.6520.49–39.57
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction11.618.2319.84safe8.67–14.555.55–10.9214.22–25.47safer7.84–15.384.82–11.6512.65–27.03
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.118.01safe3.01–6.771.46–4.774.47–11.54safer2.47–7.320.97–5.263.43–12.58
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.203.8511.05safe4.99–9.421.85–5.856.84–15.27safer4.42–9.991.32–6.385.73–16.37
Possession %
77%
20%
homeawayprediction57.0043.53safe50.21–63.7936.75–50.32safer48.54–65.4635.08–51.99
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction561421982safe494–629354–487848–1116safer476–647337–505813–1152
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction77.2873.80safe73.25–81.3169.48–78.12safer71.96–82.6068.17–79.43
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0011.4122.41safe8.16–13.848.46–14.3516.62–28.19safer7.40–14.597.72–15.1015.12–29.69
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.663.53safe0.71–3.030.56–2.751.28–5.78safer0.41–3.330.28–3.040.69–6.37
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.292.053.34safe0.24–2.340.92–3.181.16–5.52safer0.00–2.610.63–3.470.61–6.08
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.806.64safe1.41–4.282.24–5.353.65–9.63safer1.02–4.671.82–5.782.83–10.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.04 1.07–3.01 0.82–3.26 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.04–2.20 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.09 3.87–8.57 | 4.37 2.63–6.12 2.17–6.58 | 10.60 6.99–14.20 6.04–15.16 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 17.90 13.97–21.82 12.88–22.91 | 12.13 8.57–15.69 7.61–16.65 | 30.03 22.54–37.52 20.49–39.57 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 11.61 8.67–14.55 7.84–15.38 | 8.23 5.55–10.92 4.82–11.65 | 19.84 14.22–25.47 12.65–27.03 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.89 3.01–6.77 2.47–7.32 | 3.11 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.58 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 7.20 4.99–9.42 4.42–9.99 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.32–6.38 | 11.05 6.84–15.27 5.73–16.37 | 81% |
| Possession % | 57.00 50.21–63.79 48.54–65.46 | 43.53 36.75–50.32 35.08–51.99 | — | 77% 20% |
| Passes | 561 494–629 476–647 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 982 848–1116 813–1152 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.28 73.25–81.31 71.96–82.60 | 73.80 69.48–78.12 68.17–79.43 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.40–14.59 | 11.41 8.46–14.35 7.72–15.10 | 22.41 16.62–28.19 15.12–29.69 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.53 1.28–5.78 0.69–6.37 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.29 0.24–2.34 0.00–2.61 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.41–4.28 1.02–4.67 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.82–5.78 | 6.64 3.65–9.63 2.83–10.44 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+