Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.032.98safe0.98–2.920.18–1.891.16–4.81safer0.73–3.170.00–2.120.68–5.29
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.903.599.49safe4.04–7.771.85–5.335.89–13.10safer3.55–8.261.38–5.804.93–14.05
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3410.9628.30safe13.41–21.267.40–14.5220.81–35.78safer12.32–22.356.44–15.4818.76–37.84
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.967.1219.08safe9.02–14.904.44–9.8013.46–24.71safer8.19–15.733.70–10.5411.89–26.27
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.328.37safe3.17–6.931.67–4.974.83–11.91safer2.62–7.481.18–5.473.80–12.94
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.994.0210.01safe3.77–8.202.02–6.025.79–14.22safer3.20–8.781.48–6.554.68–15.33
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.8743.96safe50.08–63.6637.18–50.75safer48.41–65.3335.51–52.42
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction564408971safe496–631341–474838–1105safer478–649324–492802–1141
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction70.9870.26safe66.95–75.0165.94–74.59safer65.65–76.3064.63–75.90
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9710.7821.75safe8.13–13.817.84–13.7215.97–27.53safer7.37–14.567.09–14.4714.46–29.04
Offsides
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.773.66safe0.73–3.050.68–2.861.40–5.91safer0.43–3.350.39–3.150.81–6.50
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.743.19safe0.40–2.500.61–2.871.01–5.37safer0.14–2.770.32–3.160.45–5.93
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.666.09safe0.99–3.862.10–5.223.10–9.08safer0.60–4.251.68–5.642.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 59% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 17.34 13.41–21.26 12.32–22.35 | 10.96 7.40–14.52 6.44–15.48 | 28.30 20.81–35.78 18.76–37.84 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.96 9.02–14.90 8.19–15.73 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 19.08 13.46–24.71 11.89–26.27 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 5.05 3.17–6.93 2.62–7.48 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.18–5.47 | 8.37 4.83–11.91 3.80–12.94 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 5.99 3.77–8.20 3.20–8.78 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 10.01 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.33 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 56.87 50.08–63.66 48.41–65.33 | 43.96 37.18–50.75 35.51–52.42 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 564 496–631 478–649 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 971 838–1105 802–1141 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.98 66.95–75.01 65.65–76.30 | 70.26 65.94–74.59 64.63–75.90 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 10.97 8.13–13.81 7.37–14.56 | 10.78 7.84–13.72 7.09–14.47 | 21.75 15.97–27.53 14.46–29.04 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.77 0.68–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.66 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.93 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.66 2.10–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.