Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.832.77safe0.97–2.910.00–1.680.94–4.59safer0.72–3.160.00–1.910.46–5.07
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.599.54safe4.09–7.811.85–5.335.93–13.14safer3.60–8.301.38–5.804.98–14.10
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.7110.3727.09safe12.79–20.646.81–13.9319.60–34.57safer11.70–21.735.85–14.8917.55–36.62
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.636.3117.94safe8.69–14.583.63–8.9912.32–23.57safer7.86–15.402.89–9.7310.75–25.13
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.077.82safe2.86–6.631.42–4.734.28–11.35safer2.32–7.170.93–5.223.25–12.39
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.8010.40safe4.38–8.811.80–5.806.18–14.61safer3.81–9.381.27–6.335.08–15.72
Possession %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction54.7446.54safe47.95–61.5339.76–53.33safer46.28–63.2038.09–55.00
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction492408899safe424–559341–474766–1033safer406–577324–492730–1069
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction65.9368.11safe61.90–69.9663.79–72.44safer60.61–71.2562.48–73.75
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0012.8222.81safe7.16–12.839.87–15.7617.03–28.60safer6.40–13.599.12–16.5115.53–30.10
Offsides
50%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.313.13safe0.66–2.980.21–2.400.87–5.38safer0.36–3.280.00–2.690.28–5.97
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.143.57safe0.38–2.481.01–3.271.39–5.74safer0.11–2.740.72–3.560.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.886.31safe1.00–3.872.32–5.433.32–9.30safer0.61–4.261.90–5.862.51–10.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 64% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.81 3.60–8.30 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.71 12.79–20.64 11.70–21.73 | 10.37 6.81–13.93 5.85–14.89 | 27.09 19.60–34.57 17.55–36.62 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.86–15.40 | 6.31 3.63–8.99 2.89–9.73 | 17.94 12.32–23.57 10.75–25.13 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 3.07 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.25–12.39 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.38–8.81 3.81–9.38 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.27–6.33 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 54.74 47.95–61.53 46.28–63.20 | 46.54 39.76–53.33 38.09–55.00 | — | 66% 29% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.93 61.90–69.96 60.61–71.25 | 68.11 63.79–72.44 62.48–73.75 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.00 7.16–12.83 6.40–13.59 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.12–16.51 | 22.81 17.03–28.60 15.53–30.10 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.13 0.87–5.38 0.28–5.97 | 50% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.88 2.32–5.43 1.90–5.86 | 6.31 3.32–9.30 2.51–10.12 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.