Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.192.57safe0.41–2.350.34–2.050.75–4.39safer0.16–2.600.11–2.270.27–4.87
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.637.95safe2.45–6.181.89–5.374.34–11.55safer1.96–6.671.42–5.843.39–12.51
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5711.4925.07safe9.65–17.507.93–15.0617.58–32.55safer8.56–18.596.97–16.0215.53–34.60
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.597.6516.24safe5.65–11.534.97–10.3310.62–21.86safer4.82–12.364.23–11.079.05–23.43
Blocked shots
50%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.146.81safe1.79–5.551.49–4.793.28–10.35safer1.25–6.100.99–5.282.24–11.38
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.769.95safe2.97–7.392.76–6.765.73–14.16safer2.39–7.972.23–7.304.63–15.27
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4945.15safe47.70–61.2838.37–51.94safer46.03–62.9536.70–53.61
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction483351833safe415–550284–417700–967safer397–568267–435664–1003
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction64.0462.95safe60.01–68.0758.63–67.27safer58.72–69.3757.32–68.58
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5713.8526.43safe9.74–15.4110.91–16.8020.64–32.21safer8.98–16.1710.16–17.5519.14–33.71
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.663.35safe0.54–2.860.56–2.751.10–5.61safer0.24–3.160.27–3.040.51–6.20
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.153.96safe0.76–2.861.02–3.281.78–6.14safer0.49–3.130.73–3.571.22–6.70
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.025.62safe1.17–4.041.46–4.572.63–8.62safer0.78–4.431.03–5.001.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.41–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.27 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 41% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 7.95 4.34–11.55 3.39–12.51 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.57 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.59 | 11.49 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.02 | 25.07 17.58–32.55 15.53–34.60 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.65–11.53 4.82–12.36 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.23–11.07 | 16.24 10.62–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 3.14 1.49–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 50% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 4.76 2.76–6.76 2.23–7.30 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 54.49 47.70–61.28 46.03–62.95 | 45.15 38.37–51.94 36.70–53.61 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 483 415–550 397–568 | 351 284–417 267–435 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.04 60.01–68.07 58.72–69.37 | 62.95 58.63–67.27 57.32–68.58 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.74–15.41 8.98–16.17 | 13.85 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.55 | 26.43 20.64–32.21 19.14–33.71 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.13 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.96 1.78–6.14 1.22–6.70 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.02 1.46–4.57 1.03–5.00 | 5.62 2.63–8.62 1.82–9.43 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.