Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.382.56safe0.21–2.150.53–2.230.74–4.39safer0.00–2.400.30–2.460.26–4.87
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.428.25safe1.96–5.692.68–6.174.64–11.85safer1.47–6.182.22–6.633.69–12.81
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8613.3325.20safe7.94–15.799.77–16.8917.71–32.68safer6.85–16.888.81–17.8515.66–34.73
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.538.2415.77safe4.59–10.475.56–10.9210.15–21.39safer3.76–11.304.82–11.658.58–22.96
Blocked shots
38%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.887.41safe1.65–5.422.22–5.533.88–10.95safer1.11–5.961.73–6.022.84–11.98
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.3710.33safe2.74–7.173.37–7.376.11–14.54safer2.17–7.742.84–7.905.01–15.65
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.5456.10safe37.75–51.3349.31–62.88safer36.08–53.0047.64–64.55
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction396464860safe328–463398–531726–994safer310–481380–548691–1029
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction61.7871.79safe57.75–65.8167.47–76.11safer56.46–67.1066.16–77.42
Fouls
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1312.5026.62safe11.29–16.969.55–15.4420.84–32.40safer10.53–17.728.80–16.1919.33–33.91
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.373.41safe0.88–3.200.28–2.471.16–5.67safer0.58–3.500.00–2.750.57–6.26
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.994.16safe1.12–3.220.86–3.121.98–6.34safer0.85–3.480.57–3.411.42–6.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.715.58safe1.43–4.301.15–4.272.58–8.57safer1.04–4.690.73–4.691.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.38 0.53–2.23 0.30–2.46 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 32% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.69 1.47–6.18 | 4.42 2.68–6.17 2.22–6.63 | 8.25 4.64–11.85 3.69–12.81 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.86 7.94–15.79 6.85–16.88 | 13.33 9.77–16.89 8.81–17.85 | 25.20 17.71–32.68 15.66–34.73 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 8.24 5.56–10.92 4.82–11.65 | 15.77 10.15–21.39 8.58–22.96 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 3.88 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 7.41 3.88–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 38% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.74 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.90 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 44.54 37.75–51.33 36.08–53.00 | 56.10 49.31–62.88 47.64–64.55 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 396 328–463 310–481 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.78 57.75–65.81 56.46–67.10 | 71.79 67.47–76.11 66.16–77.42 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 14.13 11.29–16.96 10.53–17.72 | 12.50 9.55–15.44 8.80–16.19 | 26.62 20.84–32.40 19.33–33.91 | 59% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.75 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.85–3.48 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.42–6.90 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 5.58 2.58–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.