Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.562.98safe0.45–2.390.71–2.421.16–4.80safer0.20–2.640.48–2.650.68–5.28
Shots on target
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.604.849.45safe2.74–6.473.10–6.595.84–13.05safer2.25–6.962.63–7.054.89–14.01
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9413.1226.06safe9.01–16.869.56–16.6818.57–33.55safer7.92–17.958.60–17.6416.52–35.60
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.439.0518.48safe6.48–12.376.37–11.7312.85–24.10safer5.65–13.205.63–12.4711.29–25.67
Blocked shots
34%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.454.057.50safe1.57–5.332.40–5.713.97–11.04safer1.02–5.871.91–6.202.93–12.07
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.165.0610.22safe2.94–7.373.06–7.066.00–14.43safer2.37–7.942.53–7.594.89–15.54
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.1554.20safe39.36–52.9447.42–60.98safer37.69–54.6145.74–62.66
Passes
32%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction400454854safe333–467388–521721–988safer315–485370–538685–1024
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction60.5369.94safe56.50–64.5665.62–74.26safer55.21–65.8664.31–75.57
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4012.1724.57safe9.56–15.249.22–15.1118.79–30.35safer8.81–15.998.47–15.8617.28–31.85
Offsides
24%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.363.89safe0.37–2.691.27–3.451.63–6.14safer0.07–2.990.98–3.741.05–6.73
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.773.74safe0.92–3.020.64–2.901.56–5.92safer0.65–3.280.35–3.191.00–6.47
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.292.936.22safe1.85–4.721.38–4.493.23–9.21safer1.46–5.110.95–4.912.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.56 0.71–2.42 0.48–2.65 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 4.84 3.10–6.59 2.63–7.05 | 9.45 5.84–13.05 4.89–14.01 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.94 9.01–16.86 7.92–17.95 | 13.12 9.56–16.68 8.60–17.64 | 26.06 18.57–33.55 16.52–35.60 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 9.43 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.20 | 9.05 6.37–11.73 5.63–12.47 | 18.48 12.85–24.10 11.29–25.67 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.45 1.57–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 4.05 2.40–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.50 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.07 | 34% 14% 51% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.94–7.37 2.37–7.94 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.54 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 46.15 39.36–52.94 37.69–54.61 | 54.20 47.42–60.98 45.74–62.66 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 400 333–467 315–485 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 32% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.53 56.50–64.56 55.21–65.86 | 69.94 65.62–74.26 64.31–75.57 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.24 8.81–15.99 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 24.57 18.79–30.35 17.28–31.85 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.36 1.27–3.45 0.98–3.74 | 3.89 1.63–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 24% 19% 56% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.29 1.85–4.72 1.46–5.11 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.22 3.23–9.21 2.42–10.03 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.