Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.252.41safe0.19–2.130.40–2.110.59–4.24safer0.00–2.380.17–2.340.11–4.72
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.697.83safe2.27–6.001.95–5.444.22–11.43safer1.78–6.491.49–5.903.27–12.39
Total shots
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4711.1524.62safe9.55–17.407.59–14.7117.13–32.11safer8.46–18.496.63–15.6715.08–34.16
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.876.8715.74safe5.93–11.814.19–9.5510.12–21.36safer5.10–12.643.45–10.298.55–22.93
Blocked shots
42%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.567.11safe1.67–5.441.90–5.213.58–10.65safer1.13–5.981.41–5.702.54–11.68
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.589.57safe2.78–7.202.58–6.585.36–13.79safer2.20–7.782.05–7.124.25–14.89
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction42.9456.64safe36.15–49.7349.86–63.43safer34.48–51.4048.19–65.10
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction413517930safe346–480451–584796–1064safer327–498433–601760–1099
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction62.9571.47safe58.92–66.9867.15–75.79safer57.62–68.2765.84–77.10
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3911.0523.44safe9.55–15.238.10–13.9917.65–29.22safer8.80–15.987.35–14.7416.15–30.72
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.184.05safe0.71–3.031.09–3.271.80–6.30safer0.41–3.330.80–3.561.21–6.89
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.743.59safe0.81–2.910.61–2.861.41–5.77safer0.54–3.170.32–3.160.86–6.33
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.935.59safe1.23–4.101.38–4.492.60–8.59safer0.84–4.490.95–4.911.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.25 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.41 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 34% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 3.69 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.90 | 7.83 4.22–11.43 3.27–12.39 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.47 9.55–17.40 8.46–18.49 | 11.15 7.59–14.71 6.63–15.67 | 24.62 17.13–32.11 15.08–34.16 | 64% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.87 5.93–11.81 5.10–12.64 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 15.74 10.12–21.36 8.55–22.93 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.56 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.68 | 42% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.78–7.20 2.20–7.78 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 9.57 5.36–13.79 4.25–14.89 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 42.94 36.15–49.73 34.48–51.40 | 56.64 49.86–63.43 48.19–65.10 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 413 346–480 327–498 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 930 796–1064 760–1099 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.95 58.92–66.98 57.62–68.27 | 71.47 67.15–75.79 65.84–77.10 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.98 | 11.05 8.10–13.99 7.35–14.74 | 23.44 17.65–29.22 16.15–30.72 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 2.18 1.09–3.27 0.80–3.56 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.74 0.61–2.86 0.32–3.16 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 5.59 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.