Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.003.18safe0.21–2.151.15–2.861.36–5.01safer0.00–2.400.92–3.090.88–5.49
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.875.669.52safe2.00–5.733.91–7.405.92–13.13safer1.51–6.223.45–7.874.96–14.08
Total shots
26%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1415.0427.19safe8.22–16.0711.48–18.6019.70–34.67safer7.13–17.1610.52–19.5617.65–36.72
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3810.1017.48safe4.43–10.327.42–12.7811.85–23.10safer3.60–11.156.68–13.5210.29–24.67
Blocked shots
32%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.624.488.10safe1.74–5.512.82–6.134.57–11.64safer1.20–6.052.33–6.623.53–12.67
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.999.70safe2.50–6.922.99–6.995.49–13.92safer1.92–7.502.46–7.524.38–15.02
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.2553.04safe41.46–55.0446.26–59.83safer39.79–56.7144.59–61.50
Passes
50%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction444443887safe377–511376–509753–1020safer359–529359–527717–1056
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction63.2069.75safe59.17–67.2365.42–74.07safer57.88–68.5264.11–75.38
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5313.0323.56safe7.70–13.3710.08–15.9717.78–29.34safer6.94–14.139.33–16.7216.27–30.85
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.003.55safe0.39–2.710.91–3.101.30–5.81safer0.09–3.010.62–3.390.71–6.40
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.893.60safe0.66–2.760.76–3.021.42–5.78safer0.40–3.030.47–3.310.87–6.34
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.666.04safe1.95–4.821.10–4.213.05–9.04safer1.56–5.210.68–4.642.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 3.18 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.00–5.73 1.51–6.22 | 5.66 3.91–7.40 3.45–7.87 | 9.52 5.92–13.13 4.96–14.08 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.14 8.22–16.07 7.13–17.16 | 15.04 11.48–18.60 10.52–19.56 | 27.19 19.70–34.67 17.65–36.72 | 26% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.38 4.43–10.32 3.60–11.15 | 10.10 7.42–12.78 6.68–13.52 | 17.48 11.85–23.10 10.29–24.67 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 4.48 2.82–6.13 2.33–6.62 | 8.10 4.57–11.64 3.53–12.67 | 32% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.50–6.92 1.92–7.50 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.52 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 48.25 41.46–55.04 39.79–56.71 | 53.04 46.26–59.83 44.59–61.50 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–529 | 443 376–509 359–527 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 50% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.20 59.17–67.23 57.88–68.52 | 69.75 65.42–74.07 64.11–75.38 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 10.53 7.70–13.37 6.94–14.13 | 13.03 10.08–15.97 9.33–16.72 | 23.56 17.78–29.34 16.27–30.85 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.39 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.60 1.42–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.95–4.82 1.56–5.21 | 2.66 1.10–4.21 0.68–4.64 | 6.04 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.