Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.292.72safe0.46–2.400.44–2.150.90–4.54safer0.21–2.650.21–2.370.42–5.02
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.218.78safe2.71–6.432.47–5.955.17–12.38safer2.22–6.922.00–6.424.22–13.34
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0013.1827.18safe10.07–17.929.62–16.7419.69–34.66safer8.98–19.018.66–17.7017.64–36.71
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction8.399.0217.41safe5.44–11.336.34–11.7011.79–23.03safer4.61–12.165.61–12.4410.22–24.60
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.447.70safe2.37–6.141.79–5.104.16–11.23safer1.83–6.681.30–5.593.13–12.27
Corners
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.9110.21safe3.09–7.522.91–6.916.00–14.43safer2.52–8.092.38–7.444.89–15.53
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.7248.07safe45.93–59.5141.29–54.86safer44.26–61.1839.61–56.53
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction438392830safe371–505326–459697–964safer353–524308–476661–1000
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction64.8568.13safe60.82–68.8863.81–72.46safer59.53–70.1762.50–73.77
Fouls
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4011.6726.07safe11.56–17.238.73–14.6220.29–31.85safer10.80–17.997.98–15.3718.79–33.36
Offsides
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.783.20safe0.26–2.580.69–2.880.95–5.46safer0.00–2.880.40–3.170.36–6.05
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.963.91safe0.90–3.000.84–3.091.74–6.09safer0.64–3.270.54–3.381.18–6.65
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.075.90safe1.40–4.271.51–4.622.91–8.90safer1.01–4.661.09–5.052.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.37 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.43 2.22–6.92 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.78 5.17–12.38 4.22–13.34 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 13.18 9.62–16.74 8.66–17.70 | 27.18 19.69–34.66 17.64–36.71 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.39 5.44–11.33 4.61–12.16 | 9.02 6.34–11.70 5.61–12.44 | 17.41 11.79–23.03 10.22–24.60 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.44 1.79–5.10 1.30–5.59 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.09–7.52 2.52–8.09 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.44 | 10.21 6.00–14.43 4.89–15.53 | 49% 39% |
| Possession % | 52.72 45.93–59.51 44.26–61.18 | 48.07 41.29–54.86 39.61–56.53 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 353–524 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.85 60.82–68.88 59.53–70.17 | 68.13 63.81–72.46 62.50–73.77 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 14.40 11.56–17.23 10.80–17.99 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 26.07 20.29–31.85 18.79–33.36 | 67% 26% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.96 0.84–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.91 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+