Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.982.173.15safe0.01–1.951.32–3.031.33–4.97safer0.00–2.201.09–3.250.85–5.45
Shots on target
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.866.2710.13safe2.00–5.724.53–8.026.53–13.74safer1.51–6.214.07–8.485.57–14.69
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0318.2130.24safe8.10–15.9514.65–21.7722.75–37.72safer7.01–17.0413.69–22.7320.70–39.78
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.5312.2019.73safe4.59–10.479.51–14.8814.10–25.35safer3.76–11.308.78–15.6112.54–26.92
Blocked shots
26%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.728.11safe1.52–5.283.06–6.374.58–11.65safer0.97–5.832.57–6.863.54–12.69
Corners
23%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction4.236.1210.36safe2.02–6.454.12–8.126.14–14.57safer1.44–7.023.59–8.665.03–15.68
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.3259.87safe34.53–48.1153.08–66.65safer32.86–49.7851.41–68.32
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction397562960safe330–465496–629826–1093safer312–483478–646790–1129
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.7478.91safe60.71–68.7774.59–83.23safer59.42–70.0773.28–84.54
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5311.0221.55safe7.69–13.368.08–13.9715.77–27.33safer6.93–14.127.33–14.7214.26–28.84
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.843.80safe0.80–3.120.74–2.931.54–6.05safer0.50–3.420.46–3.220.96–6.64
Yellow cards
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.583.36safe0.73–2.830.45–2.711.19–5.54safer0.47–3.100.16–3.000.63–6.10
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.596.57safe2.54–5.411.03–4.153.57–9.56safer2.15–5.800.61–4.572.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.01–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 2.17 1.32–3.03 1.09–3.25 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 16% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.72 1.51–6.21 | 6.27 4.53–8.02 4.07–8.48 | 10.13 6.53–13.74 5.57–14.69 | 18% 73% |
| Total shots | 12.03 8.10–15.95 7.01–17.04 | 18.21 14.65–21.77 13.69–22.73 | 30.24 22.75–37.72 20.70–39.78 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 12.20 9.51–14.88 8.78–15.61 | 19.73 14.10–25.35 12.54–26.92 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.83 | 4.72 3.06–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 8.11 4.58–11.65 3.54–12.69 | 26% 61% |
| Corners | 4.23 2.02–6.45 1.44–7.02 | 6.12 4.12–8.12 3.59–8.66 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.03–15.68 | 23% 67% |
| Possession % | 41.32 34.53–48.11 32.86–49.78 | 59.87 53.08–66.65 51.41–68.32 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 397 330–465 312–483 | 562 496–629 478–646 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.74 60.71–68.77 59.42–70.07 | 78.91 74.59–83.23 73.28–84.54 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.53 7.69–13.36 6.93–14.12 | 11.02 8.08–13.97 7.33–14.72 | 21.55 15.77–27.33 14.26–28.84 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.80 1.54–6.05 0.96–6.64 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.36 1.19–5.54 0.63–6.10 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.54–5.41 2.15–5.80 | 2.59 1.03–4.15 0.61–4.57 | 6.57 3.57–9.56 2.76–10.37 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.