Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.812.93safe0.16–2.090.95–2.661.11–4.76safer0.00–2.340.73–2.890.63–5.24
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.999.12safe2.28–6.003.24–6.735.52–12.73safer1.79–6.492.78–7.194.56–13.68
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5413.6326.17safe8.62–16.4710.07–17.1918.68–33.66safer7.53–17.569.11–18.1516.63–35.71
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.349.4017.73safe5.39–11.286.72–12.0812.11–23.36safer4.56–12.115.98–12.8210.54–24.92
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.514.477.97safe1.63–5.392.81–6.124.44–11.51safer1.08–5.932.32–6.613.40–12.54
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.865.019.86safe2.64–7.073.01–7.015.65–14.08safer2.07–7.642.47–7.544.54–15.19
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.1062.31safe31.31–44.8955.53–69.10safer29.64–46.5653.85–70.77
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction345571916safe277–412505–638782–1049safer259–430487–655746–1085
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction59.9774.34safe55.94–64.0070.01–78.66safer54.65–65.2968.70–79.97
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0110.9522.96safe9.18–14.858.00–13.8917.18–28.74safer8.42–15.617.25–14.6415.68–30.25
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.463.22safe0.60–2.920.36–2.550.96–5.47safer0.30–3.220.08–2.840.37–6.06
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.673.52safe0.80–2.900.54–2.801.34–5.70safer0.53–3.160.25–3.090.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.986.03safe1.62–4.491.42–4.533.04–9.03safer1.23–4.881.00–4.962.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.81 0.95–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.99 3.24–6.73 2.78–7.19 | 9.12 5.52–12.73 4.56–13.68 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.54 8.62–16.47 7.53–17.56 | 13.63 10.07–17.19 9.11–18.15 | 26.17 18.68–33.66 16.63–35.71 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.39–11.28 4.56–12.11 | 9.40 6.72–12.08 5.98–12.82 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 4.47 2.81–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 7.97 4.44–11.51 3.40–12.54 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.47–7.54 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.19 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 38.10 31.31–44.89 29.64–46.56 | 62.31 55.53–69.10 53.85–70.77 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 345 277–412 259–430 | 571 505–638 487–655 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.97 55.94–64.00 54.65–65.29 | 74.34 70.01–78.66 68.70–79.97 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 10.95 8.00–13.89 7.25–14.64 | 22.96 17.18–28.74 15.68–30.25 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.22 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.62–4.49 1.23–4.88 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+