Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.222.73safe0.54–2.480.37–2.080.91–4.56safer0.29–2.730.14–2.310.43–5.04
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.098.90safe2.95–6.672.35–5.845.30–12.51safer2.46–7.161.88–6.304.34–13.46
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6311.7026.33safe10.71–18.568.14–15.2618.85–33.82safer9.62–19.657.18–16.2216.80–35.87
Shots in box
58%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction9.217.8817.09safe6.27–12.165.20–10.5611.47–22.72safer5.44–12.994.46–11.309.90–24.28
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.718.23safe2.63–6.402.06–5.374.69–11.76safer2.09–6.941.57–5.863.66–12.80
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.409.71safe3.10–7.532.40–6.405.50–13.93safer2.53–8.101.87–6.934.39–15.03
Possession %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction54.4245.30safe47.63–61.2138.51–52.08safer45.96–62.8836.84–53.76
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction518406923safe450–585339–472790–1057safer432–603322–490754–1093
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction69.8668.63safe65.83–73.8964.31–72.96safer64.54–75.1963.00–74.26
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7412.7023.43safe7.90–13.579.75–15.6417.65–29.22safer7.14–14.339.00–16.3916.15–30.72
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.733.07safe0.18–2.500.64–2.830.82–5.33safer0.00–2.800.35–3.120.23–5.92
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.993.40safe0.36–2.460.86–3.121.22–5.58safer0.10–2.730.57–3.410.67–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.985.75safe1.34–4.211.42–4.532.76–8.74safer0.95–4.600.99–4.961.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.09 2.35–5.84 1.88–6.30 | 8.90 5.30–12.51 4.34–13.46 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.63 10.71–18.56 9.62–19.65 | 11.70 8.14–15.26 7.18–16.22 | 26.33 18.85–33.82 16.80–35.87 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.21 6.27–12.16 5.44–12.99 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 17.09 11.47–22.72 9.90–24.28 | 58% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.63–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 3.71 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 8.23 4.69–11.76 3.66–12.80 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.31 3.10–7.53 2.53–8.10 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.93 | 9.71 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.03 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 54.42 47.63–61.21 45.96–62.88 | 45.30 38.51–52.08 36.84–53.76 | — | 68% 27% |
| Passes | 518 450–585 432–603 | 406 339–472 322–490 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.86 65.83–73.89 64.54–75.19 | 68.63 64.31–72.96 63.00–74.26 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.57 7.14–14.33 | 12.70 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 23.43 17.65–29.22 16.15–30.72 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.34 0.18–2.50 0.00–2.80 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.96 | 5.75 2.76–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+