Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.852.93safe0.11–2.051.00–2.711.11–4.75safer0.00–2.300.77–2.930.63–5.23
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.048.76safe1.85–5.583.30–6.785.15–12.36safer1.36–6.072.83–7.254.20–13.32
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8913.8424.73safe6.97–14.8210.27–17.4017.24–32.22safer5.88–15.919.31–18.3615.19–34.27
Shots in box
24%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction7.409.8117.20safe4.46–10.347.13–12.4911.58–22.83safer3.63–11.176.39–13.2210.01–24.39
Blocked shots
21%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.357.09safe0.86–4.632.70–6.003.56–10.63safer0.32–5.172.20–6.492.52–11.66
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.165.639.79safe1.95–6.383.63–7.635.58–14.00safer1.38–6.953.09–8.164.47–15.11
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction43.9055.70safe37.11–50.6948.91–62.48safer35.44–52.3647.24–64.16
Passes
19%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction395498893safe328–463432–564760–1027safer310–481414–582724–1063
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction62.3174.84safe58.28–66.3470.51–79.16safer56.99–67.6469.21–80.47
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9413.5224.46safe8.10–13.7810.57–16.4618.68–30.24safer7.34–14.539.83–17.2117.17–31.74
Offsides
64%
15%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.005.33safe2.17–4.490.90–3.093.07–7.58safer1.87–4.790.62–3.382.48–8.17
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.243.86safe0.57–2.671.12–3.371.68–6.04safer0.30–2.930.82–3.661.13–6.60
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.685.93safe1.81–4.681.12–4.242.94–8.92safer1.42–5.070.70–4.662.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.85 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.93 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.85–5.58 1.36–6.07 | 5.04 3.30–6.78 2.83–7.25 | 8.76 5.15–12.36 4.20–13.32 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 10.89 6.97–14.82 5.88–15.91 | 13.84 10.27–17.40 9.31–18.36 | 24.73 17.24–32.22 15.19–34.27 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.34 3.63–11.17 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.22 | 17.20 11.58–22.83 10.01–24.39 | 24% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 2.74 0.86–4.63 0.32–5.17 | 4.35 2.70–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 21% 66% |
| Corners | 4.16 1.95–6.38 1.38–6.95 | 5.63 3.63–7.63 3.09–8.16 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 43.90 37.11–50.69 35.44–52.36 | 55.70 48.91–62.48 47.24–64.16 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 395 328–463 310–481 | 498 432–564 414–582 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 19% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.31 58.28–66.34 56.99–67.64 | 74.84 70.51–79.16 69.21–80.47 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.94 8.10–13.78 7.34–14.53 | 13.52 10.57–16.46 9.83–17.21 | 24.46 18.68–30.24 17.17–31.74 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 3.33 2.17–4.49 1.87–4.79 | 2.00 0.90–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 5.33 3.07–7.58 2.48–8.17 | 64% 15% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 2.24 1.12–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+