Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.020.732.75safe1.05–2.990.00–1.590.93–4.57safer0.80–3.240.00–1.820.45–5.05
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.252.849.08safe4.38–8.111.09–4.585.48–12.69safer3.89–8.600.63–5.044.52–13.64
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction16.539.0425.57safe12.60–20.455.47–12.6018.08–33.05safer11.51–21.554.51–13.5616.03–35.10
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.145.6516.79safe8.20–14.092.97–8.3311.17–22.42safer7.37–14.922.23–9.079.60–23.98
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.452.637.07safe2.56–6.330.97–4.283.54–10.61safer2.02–6.870.48–4.772.50–11.64
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.4010.32safe4.70–9.131.40–5.406.11–14.53safer4.13–9.700.87–5.945.00–15.64
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.5640.49safe52.77–66.3533.70–47.27safer51.10–68.0232.03–48.95
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction549379928safe482–616312–445794–1062safer464–634295–463759–1097
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction67.9765.04safe63.94–72.0060.71–69.36safer62.65–73.3059.40–70.67
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7612.1722.92safe7.92–13.599.22–15.1117.14–28.71safer7.16–14.358.47–15.8615.64–30.21
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.453.53safe0.93–3.250.35–2.541.28–5.79safer0.63–3.550.06–2.830.69–6.38
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.213.63safe0.37–2.471.09–3.341.45–5.81safer0.10–2.730.79–3.630.90–6.37
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.18safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.81
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.785.87safe0.65–3.522.22–5.342.88–8.86safer0.26–3.911.80–5.762.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 0.73 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 67% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.25 4.38–8.11 3.89–8.60 | 2.84 1.09–4.58 0.63–5.04 | 9.08 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.64 | 84% |
| Total shots | 16.53 12.60–20.45 11.51–21.55 | 9.04 5.47–12.60 4.51–13.56 | 25.57 18.08–33.05 16.03–35.10 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.20–14.09 7.37–14.92 | 5.65 2.97–8.33 2.23–9.07 | 16.79 11.17–22.42 9.60–23.98 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.56–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 2.63 0.97–4.28 0.48–4.77 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.70–9.13 4.13–9.70 | 3.40 1.40–5.40 0.87–5.94 | 10.32 6.11–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.56 52.77–66.35 51.10–68.02 | 40.49 33.70–47.27 32.03–48.95 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 549 482–616 464–634 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.97 63.94–72.00 62.65–73.30 | 65.04 60.71–69.36 59.40–70.67 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.92–13.59 7.16–14.35 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 22.92 17.14–28.71 15.64–30.21 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 1.45 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 3.53 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 2.21 1.09–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.90–6.37 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.78 2.22–5.34 1.80–5.76 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.