Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.192.84safe0.68–2.610.34–2.051.02–4.66safer0.43–2.870.11–2.280.54–5.14
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.813.919.72safe3.94–7.672.17–5.656.11–13.32safer3.45–8.161.70–6.125.16–14.28
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5210.4427.96safe13.59–21.446.88–14.0120.48–35.45safer12.50–22.535.92–14.9718.43–37.50
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.307.3718.67safe8.36–14.244.69–10.0513.04–24.29safer7.53–15.073.95–10.7911.48–25.86
Blocked shots
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.292.988.27safe3.40–7.171.33–4.634.73–11.80safer2.86–7.710.83–5.133.69–12.84
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.364.0210.38safe4.15–8.582.02–6.026.17–14.59safer3.58–9.151.48–6.555.06–15.70
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.2644.29safe48.47–62.0537.51–51.08safer46.80–63.7235.84–52.75
Passes
80%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction514411925safe447–581344–477791–1058safer429–599327–495755–1094
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction73.6569.92safe69.62–77.6865.59–74.24safer68.33–78.9764.28–75.55
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1310.1221.26safe8.30–13.977.18–13.0715.47–27.04safer7.54–14.736.43–13.8113.97–28.54
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.813.50safe0.54–2.860.71–2.901.25–5.76safer0.24–3.160.42–3.190.66–6.35
Yellow cards
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.673.08safe0.36–2.460.54–2.800.90–5.26safer0.09–2.730.25–3.090.35–5.82
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.816.42safe1.17–4.042.25–5.373.43–9.41safer0.78–4.431.83–5.792.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.61 0.43–2.87 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.81 3.94–7.67 3.45–8.16 | 3.91 2.17–5.65 1.70–6.12 | 9.72 6.11–13.32 5.16–14.28 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 17.52 13.59–21.44 12.50–22.53 | 10.44 6.88–14.01 5.92–14.97 | 27.96 20.48–35.45 18.43–37.50 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.24 7.53–15.07 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 18.67 13.04–24.29 11.48–25.86 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 5.29 3.40–7.17 2.86–7.71 | 2.98 1.33–4.63 0.83–5.13 | 8.27 4.73–11.80 3.69–12.84 | 74% 16% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.15–8.58 3.58–9.15 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.26 48.47–62.05 46.80–63.72 | 44.29 37.51–51.08 35.84–52.75 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 429–599 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 925 791–1058 755–1094 | 80% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.65 69.62–77.68 68.33–78.97 | 69.92 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.30–13.97 7.54–14.73 | 10.12 7.18–13.07 6.43–13.81 | 21.26 15.47–27.04 13.97–28.54 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.16 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.73 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.81 2.25–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 25% 14% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+