Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.282.73safe0.48–2.410.43–2.140.90–4.55safer0.22–2.660.20–2.370.42–5.03
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.768.48safe2.86–6.592.01–5.504.88–12.09safer2.37–7.081.55–5.973.92–13.04
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0611.3624.42safe9.13–16.987.80–14.9216.93–31.91safer8.04–18.076.84–15.8814.88–33.96
Shots in box
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction8.587.8116.39safe5.64–11.525.13–10.4910.77–22.01safer4.81–12.354.39–11.239.20–23.58
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.786.47safe1.81–5.571.13–4.432.94–10.01safer1.27–6.120.63–4.921.90–11.04
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.6810.34safe3.45–7.882.68–6.686.13–14.55safer2.88–8.452.14–7.215.02–15.66
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.1844.61safe48.39–61.9737.83–51.40safer46.72–63.6436.15–53.07
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction489389878safe422–557322–455745–1012safer404–575305–473709–1048
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction66.3065.04safe62.27–70.3360.71–69.36safer60.98–71.6259.40–70.67
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0313.4024.43safe8.19–13.8610.46–16.3518.65–30.21safer7.43–14.629.71–17.1017.14–31.72
Offsides
57%
18%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.801.914.71safe1.64–3.960.82–3.002.46–6.97safer1.34–4.270.53–3.291.87–7.56
Yellow cards
24%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.564.22safe0.61–2.711.43–3.692.04–6.40safer0.34–2.971.14–3.981.48–6.95
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
32%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.205.80safe1.17–4.041.65–4.762.81–8.80safer0.78–4.431.22–5.182.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.48–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 41% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 3.76 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.97 | 8.48 4.88–12.09 3.92–13.04 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.06 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 11.36 7.80–14.92 6.84–15.88 | 24.42 16.93–31.91 14.88–33.96 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.58 5.64–11.52 4.81–12.35 | 7.81 5.13–10.49 4.39–11.23 | 16.39 10.77–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 53% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.27–6.12 | 2.78 1.13–4.43 0.63–4.92 | 6.47 2.94–10.01 1.90–11.04 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.14–7.21 | 10.34 6.13–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 55.18 48.39–61.97 46.72–63.64 | 44.61 37.83–51.40 36.15–53.07 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.30 62.27–70.33 60.98–71.62 | 65.04 60.71–69.36 59.40–70.67 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.03 8.19–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 13.40 10.46–16.35 9.71–17.10 | 24.43 18.65–30.21 17.14–31.72 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.80 1.64–3.96 1.34–4.27 | 1.91 0.82–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 4.71 2.46–6.97 1.87–7.56 | 57% 18% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.56 1.43–3.69 1.14–3.98 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 24% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.80 2.81–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 32% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+