Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.950.922.86safe0.98–2.920.06–1.771.04–4.69safer0.73–3.170.00–2.000.56–5.16
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.153.379.53safe4.29–8.021.63–5.125.92–13.13safer3.80–8.511.16–5.584.97–14.09
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9210.1427.06safe13.00–20.846.58–13.7019.57–34.55safer11.90–21.945.62–14.6617.52–36.60
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.016.4217.43safe8.07–13.963.74–9.1011.81–23.06safer7.24–14.793.00–9.8410.24–24.62
Blocked shots
68%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.626.98safe2.48–6.240.97–4.273.44–10.51safer1.93–6.780.47–4.772.41–11.55
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.643.9310.57safe4.43–8.861.93–5.936.36–14.78safer3.86–9.431.39–6.465.25–15.89
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7442.31safe50.95–64.5335.53–49.10safer49.28–66.2033.86–50.77
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction532369901safe465–599303–436768–1035safer447–618285–453732–1071
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction68.3867.37safe64.36–72.4163.04–71.69safer63.06–73.7161.73–73.00
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9112.6823.59safe8.07–13.759.73–15.6217.81–29.37safer7.32–14.518.99–16.3716.30–30.88
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.713.51safe0.65–2.970.61–2.801.26–5.77safer0.35–3.270.33–3.090.67–6.36
Yellow cards
23%
22%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.983.21safe0.18–2.280.86–3.111.04–5.39safer0.00–2.550.56–3.400.48–5.95
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.334.006.33safe0.90–3.772.44–5.553.34–9.32safer0.51–4.162.02–5.982.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.92 0.73–3.17 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.86 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.16 | 61% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.15 4.29–8.02 3.80–8.51 | 3.37 1.63–5.12 1.16–5.58 | 9.53 5.92–13.13 4.97–14.09 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.92 13.00–20.84 11.90–21.94 | 10.14 6.58–13.70 5.62–14.66 | 27.06 19.57–34.55 17.52–36.60 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.01 8.07–13.96 7.24–14.79 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 17.43 11.81–23.06 10.24–24.62 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.93–6.78 | 2.62 0.97–4.27 0.47–4.77 | 6.98 3.44–10.51 2.41–11.55 | 68% 19% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 3.93 1.93–5.93 1.39–6.46 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.74 50.95–64.53 49.28–66.20 | 42.31 35.53–49.10 33.86–50.77 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 532 465–599 447–618 | 369 303–436 285–453 | 901 768–1035 732–1071 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.38 64.36–72.41 63.06–73.71 | 67.37 63.04–71.69 61.73–73.00 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.07–13.75 7.32–14.51 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.99–16.37 | 23.59 17.81–29.37 16.30–30.88 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.51 1.26–5.77 0.67–6.36 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.55 | 1.98 0.86–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.21 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 4.00 2.44–5.55 2.02–5.98 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.