Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.192.95safe0.79–2.730.34–2.041.13–4.77safer0.54–2.980.11–2.270.65–5.25
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.949.30safe3.50–7.222.19–5.685.69–12.90safer3.01–7.711.73–6.154.74–13.86
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5511.3726.92safe11.63–19.487.80–14.9319.43–34.41safer10.54–20.576.85–15.8917.38–36.46
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.447.3016.74safe6.49–12.384.62–9.9911.12–22.36safer5.67–13.213.89–10.729.55–23.93
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.387.69safe2.43–6.191.72–5.034.15–11.22safer1.89–6.741.23–5.523.12–12.26
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.5810.34safe3.55–7.982.58–6.586.13–14.56safer2.98–8.552.04–7.115.02–15.66
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2544.87safe49.46–63.0438.08–51.65safer47.79–64.7136.41–53.32
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction530387917safe462–597321–454783–1051safer444–615303–471748–1086
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction69.2969.42safe65.26–73.3265.10–73.75safer63.97–74.6163.79–75.06
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7911.3123.10safe8.95–14.638.36–14.2517.32–28.88safer8.19–15.387.62–15.0015.81–30.38
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.703.73safe0.86–3.180.61–2.801.47–5.98safer0.56–3.480.32–3.090.88–6.57
Yellow cards
35%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.983.76safe0.73–2.830.85–3.111.58–5.93safer0.46–3.100.56–3.401.02–6.49
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.476.20safe1.29–4.161.92–5.033.21–9.19safer0.90–4.551.49–5.462.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.19 0.34–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.55 11.63–19.48 10.54–20.57 | 11.37 7.80–14.93 6.85–15.89 | 26.92 19.43–34.41 17.38–36.46 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.44 6.49–12.38 5.67–13.21 | 7.30 4.62–9.99 3.89–10.72 | 16.74 11.12–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.19 1.89–6.74 | 3.38 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.04–7.11 | 10.34 6.13–14.56 5.02–15.66 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 56.25 49.46–63.04 47.79–64.71 | 44.87 38.08–51.65 36.41–53.32 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 530 462–597 444–615 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.29 65.26–73.32 63.97–74.61 | 69.42 65.10–73.75 63.79–75.06 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.19–15.38 | 11.31 8.36–14.25 7.62–15.00 | 23.10 17.32–28.88 15.81–30.38 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.76 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.46 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.01 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+