Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
25%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.912.54safe0.66–2.590.06–1.770.71–4.36safer0.41–2.840.00–1.990.23–4.84
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.083.108.18safe3.22–6.941.35–4.844.57–11.78safer2.73–7.430.89–5.303.62–12.74
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.019.4424.45safe11.09–18.945.88–13.0016.97–31.94safer9.99–20.034.92–13.9614.91–33.99
Shots in box
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.166.2116.37safe7.22–13.103.52–8.8910.74–21.99safer6.39–13.932.79–9.629.18–23.56
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.807.12safe2.43–6.201.15–4.453.58–10.65safer1.89–6.740.65–4.942.54–11.69
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.8710.01safe3.93–8.351.87–5.875.80–14.22safer3.35–8.931.33–6.404.69–15.33
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.5442.28safe50.75–64.3335.50–49.07safer49.08–66.0033.83–50.74
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction539373913safe472–607307–440779–1046safer454–625289–457743–1082
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction66.6863.92safe62.65–70.7159.60–68.25safer61.36–72.0058.29–69.56
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7412.2923.03safe7.90–13.589.35–15.2417.25–28.82safer7.15–14.338.60–15.9915.75–30.32
Offsides
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.202.73safe0.37–2.690.11–2.290.48–4.99safer0.07–2.990.00–2.580.00–5.58
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.973.33safe0.31–2.410.84–3.101.15–5.50safer0.04–2.670.55–3.390.59–6.06
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.425.68safe0.82–3.691.86–4.982.68–8.67safer0.43–4.081.44–5.401.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.66–2.59 0.41–2.84 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–1.99 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 54% 25% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.08 3.22–6.94 2.73–7.43 | 3.10 1.35–4.84 0.89–5.30 | 8.18 4.57–11.78 3.62–12.74 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.01 11.09–18.94 9.99–20.03 | 9.44 5.88–13.00 4.92–13.96 | 24.45 16.97–31.94 14.91–33.99 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.39–13.93 | 6.21 3.52–8.89 2.79–9.62 | 16.37 10.74–21.99 9.18–23.56 | 80% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.80 1.15–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.69 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.33–6.40 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 57.54 50.75–64.33 49.08–66.00 | 42.28 35.50–49.07 33.83–50.74 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 539 472–607 454–625 | 373 307–440 289–457 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.68 62.65–70.71 61.36–72.00 | 63.92 59.60–68.25 58.29–69.56 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.58 7.15–14.33 | 12.29 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 23.03 17.25–28.82 15.75–30.32 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.20 0.11–2.29 0.00–2.58 | 2.73 0.48–4.99 0.00–5.58 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.33 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 3.42 1.86–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 5.68 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.