Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.812.76safe0.00–1.920.96–2.660.93–4.58safer0.00–2.170.73–2.890.45–5.06
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.475.208.67safe1.61–5.333.46–6.945.06–12.27safer1.12–5.822.99–7.414.11–13.23
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2714.7224.99safe6.34–14.1911.15–18.2817.50–32.47safer5.25–15.2810.20–19.2415.45–34.52
Shots in box
19%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction6.689.6316.30safe3.73–9.626.95–12.3110.68–21.93safer2.90–10.456.21–13.059.11–23.49
Blocked shots
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.504.146.64safe0.61–4.382.49–5.803.10–10.18safer0.07–4.922.00–6.292.07–11.21
Corners
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.389.17safe1.58–6.013.38–7.384.96–13.39safer1.01–6.582.85–7.913.85–14.49
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.9159.48safe34.12–47.7052.69–66.26safer32.45–49.3751.02–67.93
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction364506870safe297–432439–572736–1004safer279–450422–590701–1039
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction58.8474.69safe54.81–62.8770.36–79.01safer53.52–64.1669.05–80.32
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2013.2126.41safe10.36–16.0310.27–16.1620.63–32.19safer9.60–16.799.52–16.9119.12–33.70
Offsides
72%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.731.855.58safe2.57–4.890.76–2.943.33–7.83safer2.27–5.190.47–3.232.74–8.42
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.114.24safe1.08–3.180.98–3.242.06–6.42safer0.81–3.440.69–3.531.50–6.97
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.110.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.300.00–0.58safer0.00–0.430.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
56%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.515.90safe1.96–4.830.95–4.062.91–8.89safer1.57–5.220.53–4.492.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.81 0.96–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.61–5.33 1.12–5.82 | 5.20 3.46–6.94 2.99–7.41 | 8.67 5.06–12.27 4.11–13.23 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.27 6.34–14.19 5.25–15.28 | 14.72 11.15–18.28 10.20–19.24 | 24.99 17.50–32.47 15.45–34.52 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 6.68 3.73–9.62 2.90–10.45 | 9.63 6.95–12.31 6.21–13.05 | 16.30 10.68–21.93 9.11–23.49 | 19% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 2.50 0.61–4.38 0.07–4.92 | 4.14 2.49–5.80 2.00–6.29 | 6.64 3.10–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 20% 13% 67% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 5.38 3.38–7.38 2.85–7.91 | 9.17 4.96–13.39 3.85–14.49 | 24% 64% |
| Possession % | 40.91 34.12–47.70 32.45–49.37 | 59.48 52.69–66.26 51.02–67.93 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 364 297–432 279–450 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 870 736–1004 701–1039 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.84 54.81–62.87 53.52–64.16 | 74.69 70.36–79.01 69.05–80.32 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 13.20 10.36–16.03 9.60–16.79 | 13.21 10.27–16.16 9.52–16.91 | 26.41 20.63–32.19 19.12–33.70 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 3.73 2.57–4.89 2.27–5.19 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 5.58 3.33–7.83 2.74–8.42 | 72% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.81–3.44 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 4.24 2.06–6.42 1.50–6.97 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.39 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.51 0.95–4.06 0.53–4.49 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 56% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.