Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.422.73safe0.34–2.280.57–2.280.91–4.55safer0.09–2.530.34–2.500.43–5.03
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.514.158.66safe2.65–6.372.41–5.895.06–12.27safer2.16–6.861.94–6.364.10–13.22
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5811.2824.86safe9.65–17.507.72–14.8417.37–32.35safer8.56–18.596.76–15.8015.32–34.40
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.037.8616.89safe6.09–11.975.17–10.5411.26–22.51safer5.26–12.804.44–11.279.70–24.08
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.943.297.23safe2.06–5.821.64–4.953.70–10.77safer1.51–6.371.15–5.442.66–11.80
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.7910.16safe3.16–7.582.79–6.795.95–14.38safer2.58–8.162.26–7.334.84–15.49
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.8155.33safe38.02–51.6048.55–62.12safer36.35–53.2746.88–63.79
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction383479862safe316–450413–546728–996safer297–468395–563693–1031
Pass accuracy %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction62.0168.98safe57.98–66.0464.66–73.31safer56.68–67.3363.35–74.62
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0310.7023.73safe10.19–15.877.75–13.6417.95–29.51safer9.44–16.637.00–14.3916.44–31.02
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.523.32safe0.64–2.960.43–2.621.07–5.58safer0.34–3.260.14–2.900.48–6.17
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.723.51safe0.73–2.830.60–2.851.33–5.68safer0.47–3.100.30–3.140.77–6.24
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.125.85safe1.29–4.161.57–4.682.85–8.84safer0.90–4.551.14–5.102.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.37 2.16–6.86 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 8.66 5.06–12.27 4.10–13.22 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.65–17.50 8.56–18.59 | 11.28 7.72–14.84 6.76–15.80 | 24.86 17.37–32.35 15.32–34.40 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.03 6.09–11.97 5.26–12.80 | 7.86 5.17–10.54 4.44–11.27 | 16.89 11.26–22.51 9.70–24.08 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.82 1.51–6.37 | 3.29 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.37 3.16–7.58 2.58–8.16 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 10.16 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.49 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 44.81 38.02–51.60 36.35–53.27 | 55.33 48.55–62.12 46.88–63.79 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 383 316–450 297–468 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 862 728–996 693–1031 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.01 57.98–66.04 56.68–67.33 | 68.98 64.66–73.31 63.35–74.62 | — | 17% 80% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.19–15.87 9.44–16.63 | 10.70 7.75–13.64 7.00–14.39 | 23.73 17.95–29.51 16.44–31.02 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.32 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.51 1.33–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+