Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.723.02safe0.33–2.270.87–2.571.20–4.84safer0.08–2.520.64–2.800.72–5.32
Shots on target
37%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.284.749.02safe2.42–6.142.99–6.485.41–12.62safer1.93–6.632.53–6.944.45–13.58
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5013.2525.75safe8.58–16.439.69–16.8118.27–33.24safer7.49–17.528.73–17.7716.21–35.29
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.488.8416.32safe4.54–10.426.16–11.5210.70–21.95safer3.71–11.255.42–12.269.13–23.51
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.647.52safe1.99–5.761.99–5.303.99–11.06safer1.45–6.301.50–5.792.95–12.09
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.0610.15safe2.87–7.303.06–7.065.93–14.36safer2.30–7.872.53–7.594.83–15.47
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.5250.64safe42.72–56.3143.86–57.43safer41.06–57.9842.19–59.10
Passes
56%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction450430880safe383–517364–497746–1014safer365–535346–514711–1049
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction64.2568.38safe60.23–68.2864.05–72.70safer58.93–69.5862.75–74.01
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1313.6924.82safe8.30–13.9710.74–16.6319.04–30.60safer7.54–14.739.99–17.3817.53–32.10
Offsides
27%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.313.91safe0.44–2.761.21–3.401.65–6.16safer0.14–3.060.93–3.691.07–6.75
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.434.25safe0.77–2.871.30–3.562.07–6.43safer0.50–3.131.01–3.851.51–6.98
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.126.08safe1.52–4.391.57–4.683.09–9.07safer1.13–4.781.14–5.102.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.33–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.72 0.87–2.57 0.64–2.80 | 3.02 1.20–4.84 0.72–5.32 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 4.74 2.99–6.48 2.53–6.94 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.58 | 37% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 13.25 9.69–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 25.75 18.27–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 7.48 4.54–10.42 3.71–11.25 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.42–12.26 | 16.32 10.70–21.95 9.13–23.51 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.64 1.99–5.30 1.50–5.79 | 7.52 3.99–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.52 42.72–56.31 41.06–57.98 | 50.64 43.86–57.43 42.19–59.10 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 450 383–517 365–535 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 56% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.25 60.23–68.28 58.93–69.58 | 68.38 64.05–72.70 62.75–74.01 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.30–13.97 7.54–14.73 | 13.69 10.74–16.63 9.99–17.38 | 24.82 19.04–30.60 17.53–32.10 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 2.31 1.21–3.40 0.93–3.69 | 3.91 1.65–6.16 1.07–6.75 | 27% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.51–6.98 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 6.08 3.09–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+