Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.602.93safe0.36–2.300.75–2.461.11–4.76safer0.11–2.550.52–2.680.63–5.24
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.699.49safe2.94–6.662.95–6.435.88–13.09safer2.45–7.152.48–6.904.93–14.05
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6712.9427.61safe10.75–18.609.38–16.5120.13–35.10safer9.65–19.698.42–17.4718.08–37.15
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.719.1917.89safe5.76–11.656.51–11.8712.27–23.52safer4.93–12.485.77–12.6010.70–25.08
Blocked shots
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.798.16safe2.48–6.252.14–5.444.62–11.69safer1.94–6.791.64–5.943.59–12.73
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.7410.15safe3.20–7.632.74–6.745.94–14.37safer2.63–8.202.21–7.274.83–15.47
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.8952.49safe41.10–54.6845.70–59.27safer39.43–56.3544.03–60.95
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction445484930safe378–513418–551796–1063safer360–531400–568760–1099
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction66.1472.85safe62.11–70.1768.53–77.17safer60.82–71.4667.22–78.48
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6411.3521.99safe7.80–13.488.41–14.3016.21–27.77safer7.05–14.237.66–15.0414.70–29.28
Offsides
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.643.32safe0.52–2.840.54–2.731.07–5.57safer0.22–3.140.25–3.020.48–6.16
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.913.48safe0.53–2.620.78–3.031.30–5.66safer0.26–2.890.48–3.330.74–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.316.25safe1.50–4.381.76–4.873.26–9.24safer1.12–4.761.33–5.292.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.60 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.68 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.66 2.45–7.15 | 4.69 2.95–6.43 2.48–6.90 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.67 10.75–18.60 9.65–19.69 | 12.94 9.38–16.51 8.42–17.47 | 27.61 20.13–35.10 18.08–37.15 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 9.19 6.51–11.87 5.77–12.60 | 17.89 12.27–23.52 10.70–25.08 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 4.37 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.64–5.94 | 8.16 4.62–11.69 3.59–12.73 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.27 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 47.89 41.10–54.68 39.43–56.35 | 52.49 45.70–59.27 44.03–60.95 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 445 378–513 360–531 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 930 796–1063 760–1099 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.14 62.11–70.17 60.82–71.46 | 72.85 68.53–77.17 67.22–78.48 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.64 7.80–13.48 7.05–14.23 | 11.35 8.41–14.30 7.66–15.04 | 21.99 16.21–27.77 14.70–29.28 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.91 0.78–3.03 0.48–3.33 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.22 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.38 1.12–4.76 | 3.31 1.76–4.87 1.33–5.29 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.45–10.06 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.