Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.043.26safe1.25–3.180.19–1.901.44–5.08safer1.00–3.440.00–2.130.96–5.56
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.5610.27safe4.85–8.581.82–5.306.67–13.88safer4.36–9.071.35–5.775.71–14.83
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.289.8429.12safe15.35–23.206.28–13.4021.63–36.61safer14.26–24.295.32–14.3619.58–38.66
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.986.9919.97safe10.04–15.924.30–9.6714.34–25.59safer9.21–16.753.57–10.4012.78–27.16
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.012.648.64safe4.12–7.890.98–4.295.11–12.18safer3.58–8.430.49–4.784.07–13.22
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.333.7011.03safe5.11–9.541.70–5.706.81–15.24safer4.54–10.111.17–6.235.71–16.35
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.1639.50safe53.37–66.9532.71–46.28safer51.70–68.6231.04–47.95
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction581380961safe514–648314–447828–1095safer496–666296–464792–1131
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.1268.75safe73.09–81.1564.42–73.07safer71.80–82.4463.11–74.38
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4910.0220.51safe7.66–13.337.08–12.9714.73–26.30safer6.90–14.096.33–13.7113.23–27.80
Offsides
38%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.903.74safe0.68–3.000.81–2.991.49–6.00safer0.38–3.300.52–3.280.90–6.58
Yellow cards
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.723.00safe0.23–2.330.59–2.850.82–5.18safer0.00–2.590.30–3.140.26–5.74
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.534.176.70safe1.10–3.972.61–5.723.71–9.69safer0.71–4.362.19–6.152.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.18 1.00–3.44 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 64% 19% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 10.27 6.67–13.88 5.71–14.83 | 80% |
| Total shots | 19.28 15.35–23.20 14.26–24.29 | 9.84 6.28–13.40 5.32–14.36 | 29.12 21.63–36.61 19.58–38.66 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.98 10.04–15.92 9.21–16.75 | 6.99 4.30–9.67 3.57–10.40 | 19.97 14.34–25.59 12.78–27.16 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 6.01 4.12–7.89 3.58–8.43 | 2.64 0.98–4.29 0.49–4.78 | 8.64 5.11–12.18 4.07–13.22 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.33 5.11–9.54 4.54–10.11 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 11.03 6.81–15.24 5.71–16.35 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.16 53.37–66.95 51.70–68.62 | 39.50 32.71–46.28 31.04–47.95 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 581 514–648 496–666 | 380 314–447 296–464 | 961 828–1095 792–1131 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.12 73.09–81.15 71.80–82.44 | 68.75 64.42–73.07 63.11–74.38 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 10.02 7.08–12.97 6.33–13.71 | 20.51 14.73–26.30 13.23–27.80 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.90 0.81–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.74 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.58 | 38% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.00 0.82–5.18 0.26–5.74 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 4.17 2.61–5.72 2.19–6.15 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.