Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.032.97safe0.98–2.910.17–1.881.15–4.79safer0.73–3.160.00–2.110.67–5.27
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.2610.48safe4.36–8.082.52–6.006.87–14.08safer3.87–8.572.05–6.475.92–15.04
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.0711.0829.14safe14.14–21.997.51–14.6421.66–36.63safer13.05–23.086.55–15.6019.61–38.68
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction12.267.4819.75safe9.32–15.214.80–10.1614.13–25.37safer8.49–16.044.07–10.9012.56–26.94
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.073.268.32safe3.19–6.951.60–4.914.79–11.86safer2.64–7.491.11–5.403.75–12.90
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.9610.45safe4.28–8.701.96–5.966.24–14.67safer3.70–9.281.43–6.505.13–15.77
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.4842.11safe52.69–66.2735.32–48.89safer51.02–67.9433.65–50.56
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction546375921safe479–613308–441787–1055safer461–632291–459752–1090
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction70.7068.20safe66.67–74.7363.87–72.52safer65.37–76.0262.57–73.83
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.4022.46safe7.22–12.909.46–15.3516.68–28.24safer6.46–13.658.71–16.1015.17–29.75
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.693.52safe0.67–2.990.60–2.781.27–5.77safer0.37–3.290.31–3.070.68–6.36
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.342.083.42safe0.29–2.390.95–3.211.24–5.60safer0.02–2.650.66–3.500.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.976.65safe1.24–4.112.42–5.533.65–9.64safer0.85–4.501.99–5.952.84–10.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.95 0.98–2.91 0.73–3.16 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.08 3.87–8.57 | 4.26 2.52–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 10.48 6.87–14.08 5.92–15.04 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 18.07 14.14–21.99 13.05–23.08 | 11.08 7.51–14.64 6.55–15.60 | 29.14 21.66–36.63 19.61–38.68 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.49–16.04 | 7.48 4.80–10.16 4.07–10.90 | 19.75 14.13–25.37 12.56–26.94 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.95 2.64–7.49 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 8.32 4.79–11.86 3.75–12.90 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.49 4.28–8.70 3.70–9.28 | 3.96 1.96–5.96 1.43–6.50 | 10.45 6.24–14.67 5.13–15.77 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.48 52.69–66.27 51.02–67.94 | 42.11 35.32–48.89 33.65–50.56 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 546 479–613 461–632 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 921 787–1055 752–1090 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.70 66.67–74.73 65.37–76.02 | 68.20 63.87–72.52 62.57–73.83 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.46–13.65 | 12.40 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 22.46 16.68–28.24 15.17–29.75 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.69 0.60–2.78 0.31–3.07 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.97 2.42–5.53 1.99–5.95 | 6.65 3.65–9.64 2.84–10.45 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.