Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.900.762.65safe0.93–2.860.00–1.610.83–4.47safer0.68–3.110.00–1.840.35–4.95
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.982.978.96safe4.12–7.851.23–4.715.35–12.56safer3.63–8.340.76–5.184.39–13.52
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.568.6125.17safe12.63–20.485.05–12.1817.68–32.66safer11.54–21.574.09–13.1415.63–34.71
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.435.4416.86safe8.48–14.372.75–8.1211.24–22.48safer7.65–15.202.02–8.859.67–24.05
Blocked shots
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.097.59safe2.62–6.381.44–4.744.05–11.12safer2.07–6.930.94–5.233.02–12.16
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.353.359.70safe4.14–8.561.35–5.355.49–13.91safer3.56–9.140.82–5.894.38–15.02
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.2548.58safe45.46–59.0441.80–55.37safer43.79–60.7140.13–57.04
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction523471993safe455–590404–537860–1127safer437–608387–555824–1163
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction67.3470.22safe63.31–71.3765.90–74.55safer62.01–72.6664.59–75.86
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7210.0320.75safe7.88–13.567.09–12.9814.97–26.54safer7.13–14.316.34–13.7313.47–28.04
Offsides
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.343.16safe0.66–2.980.24–2.430.90–5.41safer0.36–3.280.00–2.720.31–6.00
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.773.12safe0.30–2.400.64–2.900.94–5.30safer0.03–2.660.35–3.190.39–5.86
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.906.09safe0.76–3.632.34–5.453.10–9.08safer0.37–4.021.92–5.882.29–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.86 0.68–3.11 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 64% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.12–7.85 3.63–8.34 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.52 | 80% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.57 | 8.61 5.05–12.18 4.09–13.14 | 25.17 17.68–32.66 15.63–34.71 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.43 8.48–14.37 7.65–15.20 | 5.44 2.75–8.12 2.02–8.85 | 16.86 11.24–22.48 9.67–24.05 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.50 2.62–6.38 2.07–6.93 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.35 4.14–8.56 3.56–9.14 | 3.35 1.35–5.35 0.82–5.89 | 9.70 5.49–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 79% |
| Possession % | 52.25 45.46–59.04 43.79–60.71 | 48.58 41.80–55.37 40.13–57.04 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 523 455–590 437–608 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 993 860–1127 824–1163 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.34 63.31–71.37 62.01–72.66 | 70.22 65.90–74.55 64.59–75.86 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.31 | 10.03 7.09–12.98 6.34–13.73 | 20.75 14.97–26.54 13.47–28.04 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.16 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.76–3.63 0.37–4.02 | 3.90 2.34–5.45 1.92–5.88 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.89 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.