Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.082.41safe0.36–2.300.23–1.940.59–4.23safer0.11–2.550.00–2.170.11–4.71
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.093.387.47safe2.23–5.951.64–5.133.87–11.08safer1.74–6.441.17–5.592.91–12.03
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0811.3924.47safe9.16–17.017.83–14.9516.99–31.96safer8.07–18.106.87–15.9114.94–34.01
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.937.5416.47safe5.99–11.874.86–10.2210.85–22.10safer5.16–12.704.12–10.969.28–23.66
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.647.54safe2.02–5.791.98–5.294.01–11.08safer1.48–6.331.49–5.782.97–12.11
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.3410.00safe3.44–7.872.34–6.345.78–14.21safer2.87–8.441.81–6.874.67–15.32
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.6045.73safe46.81–60.3938.95–52.51safer45.14–62.0637.27–54.19
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction474378852safe406–541312–445718–985safer388–559294–462682–1021
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction64.5165.03safe60.48–68.5460.71–69.36safer59.19–69.8359.40–70.67
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2813.8526.13safe9.45–15.1210.90–16.7920.35–31.91safer8.69–15.8810.16–17.5418.85–33.42
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.292.87safe0.42–2.740.19–2.380.62–5.12safer0.12–3.050.00–2.670.03–5.71
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.063.80safe0.69–2.790.94–3.191.62–5.98safer0.42–3.050.64–3.481.06–6.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.685.17safe1.05–3.921.13–4.242.17–8.16safer0.66–4.310.70–4.661.36–8.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 42% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.09 2.23–5.95 1.74–6.44 | 3.38 1.64–5.13 1.17–5.59 | 7.47 3.87–11.08 2.91–12.03 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.08 9.16–17.01 8.07–18.10 | 11.39 7.83–14.95 6.87–15.91 | 24.47 16.99–31.96 14.94–34.01 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.87 5.16–12.70 | 7.54 4.86–10.22 4.12–10.96 | 16.47 10.85–22.10 9.28–23.66 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.79 1.48–6.33 | 3.64 1.98–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 7.54 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.11 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.87 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.67–15.32 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.60 46.81–60.39 45.14–62.06 | 45.73 38.95–52.51 37.27–54.19 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.51 60.48–68.54 59.19–69.83 | 65.03 60.71–69.36 59.40–70.67 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 12.28 9.45–15.12 8.69–15.88 | 13.85 10.90–16.79 10.16–17.54 | 26.13 20.35–31.91 18.85–33.42 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.05 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 2.87 0.62–5.12 0.03–5.71 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.06–6.54 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.68 1.13–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.17 2.17–8.16 1.36–8.97 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.