Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.542.72safe0.22–2.150.68–2.390.90–4.55safer0.00–2.400.45–2.620.42–5.02
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.498.53safe2.18–5.902.75–6.244.93–12.14safer1.69–6.392.28–6.703.97–13.09
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6613.2324.89safe7.74–15.599.67–16.7917.41–32.38safer6.65–16.688.71–17.7515.36–34.43
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.298.7317.02safe5.35–11.236.05–11.4111.40–22.65safer4.52–12.065.31–12.159.83–24.21
Blocked shots
26%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.976.81safe0.96–4.722.32–5.633.28–10.35safer0.41–5.261.83–6.122.24–11.38
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.359.73safe2.16–6.593.35–7.355.51–13.94safer1.59–7.162.82–7.884.41–15.05
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.9559.83safe34.16–47.7453.04–66.61safer32.49–49.4151.37–68.28
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction363503866safe296–430437–570733–1000safer277–448420–587697–1036
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction57.4473.51safe53.41–61.4769.19–77.83safer52.11–62.7667.88–79.14
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7712.6225.39safe9.93–15.619.68–15.5719.61–31.18safer9.18–16.368.93–16.3218.11–32.68
Offsides
50%
17%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.635.79safe2.00–4.321.54–3.723.54–8.04safer1.70–4.621.25–4.012.95–8.63
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.044.27safe1.18–3.280.91–3.172.09–6.45safer0.92–3.550.62–3.461.53–7.01
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.100.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.290.00–0.57safer0.00–0.430.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.655.47safe1.38–4.251.10–4.212.48–8.46safer0.99–4.640.67–4.631.67–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.54 0.68–2.39 0.45–2.62 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.02 | 29% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.90 1.69–6.39 | 4.49 2.75–6.24 2.28–6.70 | 8.53 4.93–12.14 3.97–13.09 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.66 7.74–15.59 6.65–16.68 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 24.89 17.41–32.38 15.36–34.43 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.29 5.35–11.23 4.52–12.06 | 8.73 6.05–11.41 5.31–12.15 | 17.02 11.40–22.65 9.83–24.21 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 2.84 0.96–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 3.97 2.32–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 26% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.37 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 5.35 3.35–7.35 2.82–7.88 | 9.73 5.51–13.94 4.41–15.05 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 40.95 34.16–47.74 32.49–49.41 | 59.83 53.04–66.61 51.37–68.28 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 277–448 | 503 437–570 420–587 | 866 733–1000 697–1036 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 57.44 53.41–61.47 52.11–62.76 | 73.51 69.19–77.83 67.88–79.14 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.77 9.93–15.61 9.18–16.36 | 12.62 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.32 | 25.39 19.61–31.18 18.11–32.68 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 3.16 2.00–4.32 1.70–4.62 | 2.63 1.54–3.72 1.25–4.01 | 5.79 3.54–8.04 2.95–8.63 | 50% 17% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.01 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.67–9.27 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.