Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.022.80safe0.81–2.740.17–1.880.97–4.62safer0.56–3.000.00–2.100.49–5.10
Shots on target
62%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.109.61safe3.65–7.382.36–5.846.01–13.22safer3.16–7.871.89–6.315.05–14.17
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2612.3027.57safe11.34–19.198.74–15.8620.08–35.05safer10.25–20.287.78–16.8218.03–37.10
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.308.2518.55safe7.36–13.245.57–10.9312.93–24.17safer6.53–14.074.83–11.6711.36–25.74
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.627.62safe2.12–5.881.97–5.284.09–11.16safer1.57–6.421.48–5.773.05–12.19
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.6810.27safe3.37–7.802.68–6.686.05–14.48safer2.80–8.382.15–7.214.95–15.59
Possession %
42%
54%
homeawayprediction49.3751.97safe42.58–56.1645.19–58.76safer40.91–57.8343.52–60.43
Passes
48%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction473479952safe406–540413–546818–1086safer388–558395–563783–1121
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction66.6273.50safe62.59–70.6569.18–77.83safer61.30–71.9467.87–79.14
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8710.9521.82safe8.03–13.708.01–13.9016.04–27.60safer7.27–14.467.26–14.6514.53–29.11
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.263.18safe0.76–3.080.17–2.360.93–5.43safer0.46–3.380.00–2.640.34–6.02
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.903.52safe0.57–2.670.77–3.031.34–5.70safer0.30–2.930.48–3.320.79–6.26
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.466.33safe1.44–4.311.90–5.013.34–9.32safer1.05–4.701.48–5.442.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.74 0.56–3.00 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.80 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.52 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 4.10 2.36–5.84 1.89–6.31 | 9.61 6.01–13.22 5.05–14.17 | 62% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.26 11.34–19.19 10.25–20.28 | 12.30 8.74–15.86 7.78–16.82 | 27.57 20.08–35.05 18.03–37.10 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 10.30 7.36–13.24 6.53–14.07 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.83–11.67 | 18.55 12.93–24.17 11.36–25.74 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.57–6.42 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.37–7.80 2.80–8.38 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 49.37 42.58–56.16 40.91–57.83 | 51.97 45.19–58.76 43.52–60.43 | — | 42% 54% |
| Passes | 473 406–540 388–558 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 48% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.62 62.59–70.65 61.30–71.94 | 73.50 69.18–77.83 67.87–79.14 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.65 | 21.82 16.04–27.60 14.53–29.11 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.26 0.17–2.36 0.00–2.64 | 3.18 0.93–5.43 0.34–6.02 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.46 1.90–5.01 1.48–5.44 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.