Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.042.88safe0.87–2.800.19–1.901.05–4.70safer0.62–3.050.00–2.120.57–5.18
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.499.11safe3.75–7.481.75–5.245.51–12.72safer3.27–7.971.29–5.704.55–13.67
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6710.3727.04safe12.74–20.596.81–13.9319.55–34.52safer11.65–21.685.85–14.8917.50–36.57
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.116.8918.00safe8.17–14.064.21–9.5712.38–23.63safer7.34–14.883.47–10.3110.81–25.19
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.057.75safe2.82–6.591.39–4.704.22–11.29safer2.28–7.130.90–5.193.18–12.32
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.364.4310.79safe4.15–8.572.43–6.436.58–15.01safer3.57–9.151.90–6.965.47–16.11
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.2246.27safe46.43–60.0139.49–53.06safer44.76–61.6837.82–54.73
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction489418907safe422–556351–484773–1041safer404–574334–502737–1076
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction68.1069.59safe64.07–72.1365.27–73.92safer62.78–73.4263.96–75.23
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0812.6723.75safe8.24–13.929.72–15.6117.96–29.53safer7.48–14.678.98–16.3616.46–31.03
Offsides
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.934.14safe1.05–3.370.84–3.021.89–6.40safer0.75–3.670.55–3.311.30–6.99
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.023.63safe0.55–2.650.90–3.151.45–5.80safer0.29–2.920.60–3.440.89–6.36
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.756.18safe0.99–3.872.19–5.303.19–9.17safer0.61–4.251.77–5.732.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.80 0.62–3.05 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.12 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.75–7.48 3.27–7.97 | 3.49 1.75–5.24 1.29–5.70 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.67 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.67 12.74–20.59 11.65–21.68 | 10.37 6.81–13.93 5.85–14.89 | 27.04 19.55–34.52 17.50–36.57 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 11.11 8.17–14.06 7.34–14.88 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 18.00 12.38–23.63 10.81–25.19 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.82–6.59 2.28–7.13 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.36 4.15–8.57 3.57–9.15 | 4.43 2.43–6.43 1.90–6.96 | 10.79 6.58–15.01 5.47–16.11 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.22 46.43–60.01 44.76–61.68 | 46.27 39.49–53.06 37.82–54.73 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 489 422–556 404–574 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 907 773–1041 737–1076 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.10 64.07–72.13 62.78–73.42 | 69.59 65.27–73.92 63.96–75.23 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.48–14.67 | 12.67 9.72–15.61 8.98–16.36 | 23.75 17.96–29.53 16.46–31.03 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 1.93 0.84–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 4.14 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 2.02 0.90–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.63 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.87 0.61–4.25 | 3.75 2.19–5.30 1.77–5.73 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.