Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.182.74safe0.59–2.530.32–2.030.92–4.56safer0.34–2.780.10–2.260.44–5.04
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.219.63safe3.56–7.282.47–5.956.02–13.23safer3.07–7.772.00–6.425.07–14.19
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1513.1328.28safe11.23–19.079.57–16.6920.79–35.77safer10.13–20.178.61–17.6518.74–37.82
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.607.9217.53safe6.66–12.555.24–10.6011.90–23.15safer5.83–13.384.50–11.3410.34–24.72
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.617.61safe2.13–5.891.95–5.264.08–11.15safer1.58–6.431.46–5.753.04–12.19
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.4510.32safe3.66–8.082.45–6.456.10–14.53safer3.08–8.661.91–6.985.00–15.64
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.9548.43safe46.16–59.7441.65–55.22safer44.49–61.4139.98–56.89
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction466396862safe399–533329–462728–995safer380–551312–480692–1031
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction65.2268.51safe61.19–69.2564.19–72.84safer59.90–70.5462.88–74.14
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1811.6224.80safe10.34–16.028.67–14.5619.01–30.58safer9.59–16.777.92–15.3117.51–32.08
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.893.68safe0.63–2.950.79–2.981.42–5.93safer0.33–3.250.50–3.270.83–6.52
Yellow cards
34%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.963.64safe0.63–2.730.83–3.091.46–5.82safer0.36–2.990.54–3.380.90–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.526.39safe1.44–4.311.96–5.073.40–9.39safer1.05–4.701.54–5.502.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.28 3.07–7.77 | 4.21 2.47–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.15 11.23–19.07 10.13–20.17 | 13.13 9.57–16.69 8.61–17.65 | 28.28 20.79–35.77 18.74–37.82 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.66–12.55 5.83–13.38 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 17.53 11.90–23.15 10.34–24.72 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.89 1.58–6.43 | 3.61 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.19 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.08 3.08–8.66 | 4.45 2.45–6.45 1.91–6.98 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.95 46.16–59.74 44.49–61.41 | 48.43 41.65–55.22 39.98–56.89 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 466 399–533 380–551 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 862 728–995 692–1031 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.22 61.19–69.25 59.90–70.54 | 68.51 64.19–72.84 62.88–74.14 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 13.18 10.34–16.02 9.59–16.77 | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 24.80 19.01–30.58 17.51–32.08 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.37 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.52 1.96–5.07 1.54–5.50 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.