Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.802.81safe0.05–1.980.94–2.650.99–4.63safer0.00–2.230.71–2.880.51–5.11
Shots on target
24%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.419.20safe1.93–5.663.67–7.155.60–12.81safer1.44–6.153.20–7.624.64–13.76
Total shots
29%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5515.0127.56safe8.63–16.4811.44–18.5720.07–35.05safer7.54–17.5710.49–19.5318.02–37.10
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6910.5718.26safe4.75–10.647.89–13.2512.64–23.89safer3.92–11.477.15–13.9911.07–25.45
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.534.227.76safe1.65–5.422.57–5.874.22–11.29safer1.11–5.962.08–6.373.18–12.33
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.259.87safe2.40–6.823.25–7.255.65–14.08safer1.82–7.402.72–7.794.55–15.19
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.7656.52safe36.97–50.5549.74–63.31safer35.30–52.2248.07–64.98
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction430536966safe363–497470–603832–1100safer344–515452–620797–1136
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction65.2075.05safe61.17–69.2370.73–79.37safer59.87–70.5269.42–80.68
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5210.6021.12safe7.68–13.367.66–13.5515.34–26.91safer6.93–14.116.91–14.3013.84–28.41
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.003.88safe0.72–3.040.91–3.091.62–6.13safer0.42–3.340.62–3.381.04–6.72
Yellow cards
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.783.43safe0.60–2.700.65–2.911.25–5.61safer0.33–2.960.36–3.200.69–6.16
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.776.17safe1.96–4.831.22–4.333.18–9.16safer1.57–5.220.79–4.752.37–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.80 0.94–2.65 0.71–2.88 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.79 1.93–5.66 1.44–6.15 | 5.41 3.67–7.15 3.20–7.62 | 9.20 5.60–12.81 4.64–13.76 | 24% 64% |
| Total shots | 12.55 8.63–16.48 7.54–17.57 | 15.01 11.44–18.57 10.49–19.53 | 27.56 20.07–35.05 18.02–37.10 | 29% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.75–10.64 3.92–11.47 | 10.57 7.89–13.25 7.15–13.99 | 18.26 12.64–23.89 11.07–25.45 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.08–6.37 | 7.76 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.61 2.40–6.82 1.82–7.40 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.55–15.19 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 43.76 36.97–50.55 35.30–52.22 | 56.52 49.74–63.31 48.07–64.98 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 430 363–497 344–515 | 536 470–603 452–620 | 966 832–1100 797–1136 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.20 61.17–69.23 59.87–70.52 | 75.05 70.73–79.37 69.42–80.68 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.52 7.68–13.36 6.93–14.11 | 10.60 7.66–13.55 6.91–14.30 | 21.12 15.34–26.91 13.84–28.41 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.88 1.62–6.13 1.04–6.72 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.33–2.96 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.43 1.25–5.61 0.69–6.16 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.97 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.