Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.432.83safe0.44–2.370.57–2.281.01–4.66safer0.18–2.620.35–2.510.53–5.14
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.789.31safe2.67–6.393.04–6.525.70–12.91safer2.18–6.882.57–6.994.75–13.87
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1713.5526.72safe9.25–17.109.99–17.1119.24–34.21safer8.16–18.199.03–18.0717.18–36.26
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.548.7417.28safe5.60–11.496.06–11.4211.66–22.90safer4.77–12.325.32–12.1610.09–24.47
Blocked shots
40%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.887.55safe1.79–5.552.22–5.534.01–11.08safer1.24–6.091.73–6.022.97–12.12
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.8910.09safe2.99–7.422.89–6.895.88–14.30safer2.42–7.992.35–7.424.77–15.41
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.9651.33safe43.17–56.7544.55–58.12safer41.50–58.4242.88–59.79
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction454421875safe387–521355–488742–1009safer369–539337–505706–1045
Pass accuracy %
23%
72%
homeawayprediction65.3270.42safe61.29–69.3566.10–74.75safer60.00–70.6464.79–76.06
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1212.5723.69safe8.29–13.969.62–15.5117.91–29.47safer7.53–14.728.88–16.2616.41–30.98
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.843.91safe0.92–3.240.74–2.931.66–6.16safer0.61–3.540.45–3.221.07–6.75
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.803.58safe0.74–2.830.67–2.931.41–5.76safer0.47–3.100.38–3.220.85–6.32
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.935.93safe1.57–4.441.37–4.482.94–8.92safer1.18–4.830.94–4.912.13–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.44–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.43 0.57–2.28 0.35–2.51 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 4.78 3.04–6.52 2.57–6.99 | 9.31 5.70–12.91 4.75–13.87 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.25–17.10 8.16–18.19 | 13.55 9.99–17.11 9.03–18.07 | 26.72 19.24–34.21 17.18–36.26 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.32–12.16 | 17.28 11.66–22.90 10.09–24.47 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.24–6.09 | 3.88 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 7.55 4.01–11.08 2.97–12.12 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.09 5.88–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 49.96 43.17–56.75 41.50–58.42 | 51.33 44.55–58.12 42.88–59.79 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–539 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.32 61.29–69.35 60.00–70.64 | 70.42 66.10–74.75 64.79–76.06 | — | 23% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.12 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 12.57 9.62–15.51 8.88–16.26 | 23.69 17.91–29.47 16.41–30.98 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.61–3.54 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.45–3.22 | 3.91 1.66–6.16 1.07–6.75 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.58 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.93 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.91 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.13–9.74 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.