Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.162.56safe0.43–2.370.31–2.020.74–4.39safer0.18–2.620.08–2.250.26–4.87
Shots on target
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.603.868.46safe2.74–6.462.12–5.614.86–12.07safer2.25–6.951.66–6.073.90–13.02
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7311.4626.18safe10.80–18.657.90–15.0218.70–33.67safer9.71–19.746.94–15.9816.65–35.72
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.177.7516.92safe6.22–12.115.07–10.4311.29–22.54safer5.39–12.944.33–11.179.73–24.11
Blocked shots
57%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.578.17safe2.72–6.491.91–5.224.64–11.71safer2.18–7.031.42–5.713.60–12.74
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.563.909.47safe3.35–7.781.90–5.905.25–13.68safer2.78–8.351.37–6.444.15–14.79
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.5145.00safe46.72–60.3038.21–51.78safer45.05–61.9736.54–53.45
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction532423956safe465–600357–490822–1089safer447–618339–507786–1125
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction71.1369.74safe67.10–75.1665.42–74.07safer65.81–76.4564.11–75.38
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3211.3921.71safe7.48–13.168.44–14.3315.93–27.49safer6.73–13.917.69–15.0814.42–28.99
Offsides
29%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.723.01safe0.13–2.450.63–2.820.76–5.26safer0.00–2.750.34–3.100.17–5.85
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.823.42safe0.55–2.650.70–2.951.25–5.60safer0.28–2.920.40–3.240.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
36%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.196.02safe1.39–4.271.63–4.743.03–9.01safer1.01–4.651.21–5.172.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 42% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 3.86 2.12–5.61 1.66–6.07 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.02 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.73 10.80–18.65 9.71–19.74 | 11.46 7.90–15.02 6.94–15.98 | 26.18 18.70–33.67 16.65–35.72 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.22–12.11 5.39–12.94 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 16.92 11.29–22.54 9.73–24.11 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.72–6.49 2.18–7.03 | 3.57 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 8.17 4.64–11.71 3.60–12.74 | 57% 13% 29% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.35 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.44 | 9.47 5.25–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.51 46.72–60.30 45.05–61.97 | 45.00 38.21–51.78 36.54–53.45 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 532 465–600 447–618 | 423 357–490 339–507 | 956 822–1089 786–1125 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.13 67.10–75.16 65.81–76.45 | 69.74 65.42–74.07 64.11–75.38 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.16 6.73–13.91 | 11.39 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.08 | 21.71 15.93–27.49 14.42–28.99 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.29 0.13–2.45 0.00–2.75 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 29% 24% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.92 | 1.82 0.70–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.42 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 3.19 1.63–4.74 1.21–5.17 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 36% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+