Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.923.21safe0.32–2.251.07–2.781.38–5.03safer0.07–2.510.84–3.000.90–5.51
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.5710.18safe2.74–6.473.83–7.316.57–13.78safer2.26–6.963.36–7.785.61–14.74
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7615.0229.79safe10.84–18.6911.46–18.5922.30–37.27safer9.75–19.7810.50–19.5520.25–39.32
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0510.7319.78safe6.11–11.998.05–13.4114.16–25.41safer5.28–12.827.32–14.1512.59–26.97
Blocked shots
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.234.328.54safe2.35–6.112.66–5.975.01–12.08safer1.80–6.652.17–6.463.97–13.12
Corners
33%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.7910.62safe2.61–7.043.79–7.796.40–14.83safer2.04–7.613.26–8.335.30–15.94
Possession %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction44.5256.50safe37.73–51.3149.71–63.28safer36.06–52.9848.04–64.95
Passes
18%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction401508909safe334–468442–575776–1043safer316–486424–592740–1079
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.6476.79safe61.61–69.6672.47–81.12safer60.31–70.9671.16–82.43
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3910.7221.11safe7.55–13.237.78–13.6715.33–26.90safer6.80–13.987.03–14.4213.83–28.40
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.673.41safe0.58–2.900.58–2.771.16–5.67safer0.28–3.200.29–3.050.57–6.25
Yellow cards
36%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.623.12safe0.45–2.550.49–2.750.94–5.30safer0.18–2.810.20–3.040.38–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.453.066.50safe2.01–4.881.50–4.613.51–9.49safer1.62–5.271.08–5.042.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.51 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 3.21 1.38–5.03 0.90–5.51 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 5.57 3.83–7.31 3.36–7.78 | 10.18 6.57–13.78 5.61–14.74 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 14.76 10.84–18.69 9.75–19.78 | 15.02 11.46–18.59 10.50–19.55 | 29.79 22.30–37.27 20.25–39.32 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 9.05 6.11–11.99 5.28–12.82 | 10.73 8.05–13.41 7.32–14.15 | 19.78 14.16–25.41 12.59–26.97 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 4.32 2.66–5.97 2.17–6.46 | 8.54 5.01–12.08 3.97–13.12 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 5.79 3.79–7.79 3.26–8.33 | 10.62 6.40–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 33% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.52 37.73–51.31 36.06–52.98 | 56.50 49.71–63.28 48.04–64.95 | — | 22% 74% |
| Passes | 401 334–468 316–486 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 18% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.64 61.61–69.66 60.31–70.96 | 76.79 72.47–81.12 71.16–82.43 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.39 7.55–13.23 6.80–13.98 | 10.72 7.78–13.67 7.03–14.42 | 21.11 15.33–26.90 13.83–28.40 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.25 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.38–5.85 | 36% 24% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.45 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 3.06 1.50–4.61 1.08–5.04 | 6.50 3.51–9.49 2.70–10.31 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.