Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.873.27safe1.43–3.370.01–1.721.45–5.09safer1.18–3.620.00–1.950.97–5.57
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.913.3010.21safe5.05–8.771.56–5.046.61–13.82safer4.56–9.261.09–5.515.65–14.77
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.0510.1829.23safe15.13–22.986.62–13.7421.75–36.72safer14.04–24.075.66–14.7019.69–38.77
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction13.506.7020.20safe10.56–16.444.02–9.3814.58–25.82safer9.73–17.273.28–10.1213.01–27.39
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.882.808.67safe3.99–7.761.14–4.455.14–12.21safer3.45–8.300.65–4.944.10–13.24
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.453.4310.88safe5.24–9.671.43–5.436.67–15.10safer4.67–10.240.90–5.965.56–16.21
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.8240.22safe54.03–67.6133.44–47.01safer52.36–69.2831.77–48.68
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction606375981safe539–673309–442847–1115safer520–691291–459812–1150
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction77.4871.14safe73.45–81.5166.81–75.46safer72.16–82.8065.50–76.77
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3610.5720.93safe7.52–13.207.63–13.5215.15–26.71safer6.76–13.956.88–14.2713.64–28.22
Offsides
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.733.72safe0.82–3.140.64–2.831.46–5.97safer0.52–3.450.35–3.110.87–6.56
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.662.98safe0.27–2.360.53–2.790.80–5.16safer0.00–2.630.24–3.080.24–5.71
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
17%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.214.026.23safe0.77–3.642.46–5.583.23–9.22safer0.38–4.032.04–6.002.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 3.27 1.45–5.09 0.97–5.57 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.91 5.05–8.77 4.56–9.26 | 3.30 1.56–5.04 1.09–5.51 | 10.21 6.61–13.82 5.65–14.77 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.05 15.13–22.98 14.04–24.07 | 10.18 6.62–13.74 5.66–14.70 | 29.23 21.75–36.72 19.69–38.77 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 13.50 10.56–16.44 9.73–17.27 | 6.70 4.02–9.38 3.28–10.12 | 20.20 14.58–25.82 13.01–27.39 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 5.88 3.99–7.76 3.45–8.30 | 2.80 1.14–4.45 0.65–4.94 | 8.67 5.14–12.21 4.10–13.24 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.45 5.24–9.67 4.67–10.24 | 3.43 1.43–5.43 0.90–5.96 | 10.88 6.67–15.10 5.56–16.21 | 86% |
| Possession % | 60.82 54.03–67.61 52.36–69.28 | 40.22 33.44–47.01 31.77–48.68 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 606 539–673 520–691 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.48 73.45–81.51 72.16–82.80 | 71.14 66.81–75.46 65.50–76.77 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.20 6.76–13.95 | 10.57 7.63–13.52 6.88–14.27 | 20.93 15.15–26.71 13.64–28.22 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.11 | 3.72 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.32 0.27–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.24–5.71 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 4.02 2.46–5.58 2.04–6.00 | 6.23 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 17% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.