Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
22%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.742.54safe0.83–2.770.00–1.590.72–4.36safer0.58–3.020.00–1.820.24–4.84
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.342.988.32safe3.48–7.201.24–4.724.72–11.93safer2.99–7.690.77–5.193.76–12.88
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction14.908.5023.41safe10.98–18.834.94–12.0715.92–30.89safer9.89–19.923.98–13.0313.87–32.94
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.555.3415.88safe7.60–13.492.66–8.0210.26–21.50safer6.77–14.321.92–8.758.69–23.07
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.546.73safe2.31–6.070.89–4.193.19–10.26safer1.76–6.610.40–4.692.16–11.30
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.4610.05safe4.38–8.811.46–5.465.84–14.26safer3.81–9.380.92–5.994.73–15.37
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction58.0842.31safe51.29–64.8735.53–49.10safer49.62–66.5433.85–50.77
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction549398947safe481–616332–465813–1081safer463–634314–482778–1116
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction66.8565.80safe62.82–70.8861.48–70.13safer61.53–72.1760.17–71.44
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2111.6421.84safe7.37–13.048.69–14.5816.06–27.63safer6.61–13.807.95–15.3314.56–29.13
Offsides
54%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.333.37safe0.88–3.200.24–2.421.12–5.63safer0.58–3.500.00–2.710.53–6.22
Yellow cards
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.053.40safe0.30–2.400.92–3.181.22–5.58safer0.04–2.670.63–3.470.66–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.495.61safe0.68–3.551.93–5.042.61–8.60safer0.29–3.941.51–5.471.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 63% 22% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 2.98 1.24–4.72 0.77–5.19 | 8.32 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.88 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 8.50 4.94–12.07 3.98–13.03 | 23.41 15.92–30.89 13.87–32.94 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.55 7.60–13.49 6.77–14.32 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.75 | 15.88 10.26–21.50 8.69–23.07 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.54 0.89–4.19 0.40–4.69 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.38–8.81 3.81–9.38 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.92–5.99 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 80% |
| Possession % | 58.08 51.29–64.87 49.62–66.54 | 42.31 35.53–49.10 33.85–50.77 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 549 481–616 463–634 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.85 62.82–70.88 61.53–72.17 | 65.80 61.48–70.13 60.17–71.44 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.21 7.37–13.04 6.61–13.80 | 11.64 8.69–14.58 7.95–15.33 | 21.84 16.06–27.63 14.56–29.13 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.33 0.24–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 54% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 3.49 1.93–5.04 1.51–5.47 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+