Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
27%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.062.49safe0.46–2.400.21–1.920.67–4.31safer0.21–2.650.00–2.140.19–4.79
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.443.447.89safe2.58–6.311.70–5.194.28–11.49safer2.09–6.801.24–5.653.33–12.45
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5110.4623.97safe9.59–17.446.90–14.0216.48–31.46safer8.50–18.535.94–14.9814.43–33.51
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.826.6216.44safe6.88–12.763.94–9.3010.81–22.06safer6.05–13.593.20–10.049.25–23.63
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.897.81safe2.04–5.812.23–5.544.27–11.35safer1.50–6.351.74–6.033.24–12.38
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.199.79safe3.39–7.822.19–6.195.58–14.00safer2.82–8.391.65–6.724.47–15.11
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.6253.10safe40.83–54.4146.31–59.88safer39.16–56.0844.64–61.55
Passes
35%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction442486928safe375–509420–553795–1062safer356–527403–570759–1098
Pass accuracy %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction65.3071.69safe61.27–69.3367.37–76.02safer59.98–70.6366.06–77.33
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3511.8024.16safe9.52–15.198.86–14.7518.38–29.94safer8.76–15.958.11–15.5016.87–31.44
Offsides
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.393.30safe0.75–3.070.30–2.491.05–5.56safer0.45–3.370.01–2.780.46–6.15
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.883.42safe0.49–2.590.75–3.011.24–5.60safer0.23–2.860.46–3.300.69–6.16
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.593.035.62safe1.15–4.031.47–4.592.63–8.61safer0.77–4.411.05–5.011.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.31 2.09–6.80 | 3.44 1.70–5.19 1.24–5.65 | 7.89 4.28–11.49 3.33–12.45 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 13.51 9.59–17.44 8.50–18.53 | 10.46 6.90–14.02 5.94–14.98 | 23.97 16.48–31.46 14.43–33.51 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.88–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 16.44 10.81–22.06 9.25–23.63 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.89 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.81 4.27–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.65–6.72 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 47.62 40.83–54.41 39.16–56.08 | 53.10 46.31–59.88 44.64–61.55 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 442 375–509 356–527 | 486 420–553 403–570 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 35% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.30 61.27–69.33 59.98–70.63 | 71.69 67.37–76.02 66.06–77.33 | — | 19% 78% |
| Fouls | 12.35 9.52–15.19 8.76–15.95 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.50 | 24.16 18.38–29.94 16.87–31.44 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.30 1.05–5.56 0.46–6.15 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.15–4.03 0.77–4.41 | 3.03 1.47–4.59 1.05–5.01 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.