Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.162.95safe0.82–2.760.31–2.021.13–4.77safer0.57–3.010.08–2.250.65–5.25
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.514.119.63safe3.65–7.382.37–5.866.02–13.23safer3.16–7.871.91–6.325.07–14.19
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction17.5711.6029.17safe13.65–21.508.04–15.1621.69–36.66safer12.56–22.597.08–16.1219.64–38.71
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.207.3118.51safe8.26–14.144.63–9.9912.88–24.13safer7.43–14.973.89–10.7211.32–25.70
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.437.69safe2.38–6.141.78–5.084.15–11.22safer1.83–6.681.29–5.583.12–12.26
Corners
67%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.3310.54safe4.00–8.432.33–6.336.33–14.76safer3.43–9.001.79–6.865.22–15.86
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction53.1348.00safe46.34–59.9341.21–54.78safer44.67–61.5939.54–56.45
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction439400839safe372–506334–467706–973safer354–524316–484670–1009
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction62.4367.40safe58.40–66.4663.08–71.73safer57.11–67.7561.77–73.04
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9813.7824.76safe8.14–13.8210.83–16.7218.97–30.54safer7.38–14.5710.09–17.4717.47–32.04
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.304.01safe0.55–2.871.21–3.401.76–6.26safer0.25–3.170.92–3.681.17–6.85
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.153.96safe0.76–2.861.02–3.281.78–6.13safer0.49–3.120.73–3.571.22–6.69
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.596.21safe1.18–4.062.03–5.143.21–9.20safer0.80–4.441.61–5.572.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.76 0.57–3.01 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.51 3.65–7.38 3.16–7.87 | 4.11 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 17.57 13.65–21.50 12.56–22.59 | 11.60 8.04–15.16 7.08–16.12 | 29.17 21.69–36.66 19.64–38.71 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.72 | 18.51 12.88–24.13 11.32–25.70 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.43 1.78–5.08 1.29–5.58 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 10.54 6.33–14.76 5.22–15.86 | 67% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.13 46.34–59.93 44.67–61.59 | 48.00 41.21–54.78 39.54–56.45 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 439 372–506 354–524 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 839 706–973 670–1009 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.43 58.40–66.46 57.11–67.75 | 67.40 63.08–71.73 61.77–73.04 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.38–14.57 | 13.78 10.83–16.72 10.09–17.47 | 24.76 18.97–30.54 17.47–32.04 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.30 1.21–3.40 0.92–3.68 | 4.01 1.76–6.26 1.17–6.85 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.06 0.80–4.44 | 3.59 2.03–5.14 1.61–5.57 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.