Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.303.28safe1.02–2.960.44–2.151.46–5.11safer0.77–3.210.21–2.380.98–5.59
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.3010.37safe4.21–7.932.56–6.046.76–13.97safer3.72–8.422.09–6.515.81–14.93
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8811.6027.48safe11.96–19.818.04–15.1720.00–34.97safer10.86–20.907.08–16.1217.95–37.02
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.277.7018.96safe8.32–14.215.02–10.3813.34–24.59safer7.49–15.044.28–11.1211.77–26.15
Blocked shots
49%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.577.57safe2.12–5.881.92–5.234.04–11.11safer1.57–6.431.43–5.723.00–12.14
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.284.2710.56safe4.07–8.502.27–6.276.34–14.77safer3.50–9.071.74–6.815.24–15.88
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.4847.61safe45.69–59.2740.82–54.39safer44.02–60.9439.15–56.06
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction485417902safe418–553350–483768–1036safer400–571333–501733–1072
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction65.4068.29safe61.37–69.4363.97–72.62safer60.08–70.7262.66–73.93
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.7722.82safe8.22–13.898.83–14.7217.04–28.61safer7.46–14.658.08–15.4615.54–30.11
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.282.99safe0.55–2.870.19–2.380.74–5.24safer0.24–3.170.00–2.660.15–5.83
Yellow cards
30%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.033.61safe0.53–2.630.91–3.161.44–5.79safer0.26–2.890.61–3.460.88–6.35
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.82
GK saves
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.756.69safe1.51–4.382.19–5.313.70–9.68safer1.12–4.771.77–5.732.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 3.28 1.46–5.11 0.98–5.59 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.07 4.21–7.93 3.72–8.42 | 4.30 2.56–6.04 2.09–6.51 | 10.37 6.76–13.97 5.81–14.93 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.88 11.96–19.81 10.86–20.90 | 11.60 8.04–15.17 7.08–16.12 | 27.48 20.00–34.97 17.95–37.02 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 11.27 8.32–14.21 7.49–15.04 | 7.70 5.02–10.38 4.28–11.12 | 18.96 13.34–24.59 11.77–26.15 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.57–6.43 | 3.57 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 6.28 4.07–8.50 3.50–9.07 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.81 | 10.56 6.34–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.48 45.69–59.27 44.02–60.94 | 47.61 40.82–54.39 39.15–56.06 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 902 768–1036 733–1072 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.40 61.37–69.43 60.08–70.72 | 68.29 63.97–72.62 62.66–73.93 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 11.77 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.46 | 22.82 17.04–28.61 15.54–30.11 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.28 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.66 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.46 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 30% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.69 3.70–9.68 2.89–10.50 | 30% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.