Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.760.982.74safe0.79–2.730.12–1.830.91–4.56safer0.54–2.980.00–2.060.44–5.04
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.343.228.56safe3.48–7.201.47–4.964.95–12.16safer2.99–7.691.01–5.424.00–13.12
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2410.0726.31safe12.32–20.176.50–13.6318.82–33.80safer11.23–21.265.55–14.5916.77–35.85
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.777.2618.03safe7.82–13.714.58–9.9412.40–23.65safer6.99–14.543.84–10.6810.84–25.22
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.812.927.73safe2.93–6.691.27–4.584.20–11.27safer2.39–7.240.78–5.073.16–12.31
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.503.8310.33safe4.28–8.711.83–5.836.11–14.54safer3.71–9.281.30–6.365.01–15.65
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.4837.51safe54.69–68.2730.72–44.29safer53.02–69.9429.05–45.96
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction583343926safe515–650277–410792–1060safer497–668259–427757–1095
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction74.5164.95safe70.48–78.5460.63–69.28safer69.19–79.8359.32–70.59
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7511.9722.72safe7.91–13.589.03–14.9216.94–28.50safer7.15–14.348.28–15.6715.43–30.01
Offsides
34%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.643.09safe0.28–2.600.55–2.740.83–5.34safer0.00–2.910.26–3.020.24–5.93
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.833.21safe0.33–2.430.70–2.961.03–5.39safer0.06–2.700.41–3.250.48–5.95
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.606.07safe1.04–3.912.04–5.153.08–9.06safer0.65–4.301.61–5.582.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 3.22 1.47–4.96 1.01–5.42 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 16.24 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 10.07 6.50–13.63 5.55–14.59 | 26.31 18.82–33.80 16.77–35.85 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.77 7.82–13.71 6.99–14.54 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 18.03 12.40–23.65 10.84–25.22 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.81 2.93–6.69 2.39–7.24 | 2.92 1.27–4.58 0.78–5.07 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.31 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.50 4.28–8.71 3.71–9.28 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 61.48 54.69–68.27 53.02–69.94 | 37.51 30.72–44.29 29.05–45.96 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 583 515–650 497–668 | 343 277–410 259–427 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.51 70.48–78.54 69.19–79.83 | 64.95 60.63–69.28 59.32–70.59 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.75 7.91–13.58 7.15–14.34 | 11.97 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.67 | 22.72 16.94–28.50 15.43–30.01 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.91 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.02 | 3.09 0.83–5.34 0.24–5.93 | 34% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.06–2.70 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.58 | 6.07 3.08–9.06 2.26–9.87 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+