Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.472.82safe0.38–2.320.61–2.320.99–4.64safer0.13–2.570.39–2.550.51–5.12
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.809.30safe2.64–6.363.06–6.545.69–12.90safer2.15–6.852.59–7.014.74–13.86
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2814.2927.57safe9.36–17.2110.72–17.8520.08–35.06safer8.27–18.309.76–18.8118.03–37.11
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.229.1317.36safe5.28–11.166.45–11.8111.73–22.98safer4.45–11.995.72–12.5510.17–24.55
Blocked shots
42%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.967.89safe2.05–5.812.31–5.614.35–11.43safer1.51–6.361.81–6.103.32–12.46
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.985.5510.53safe2.76–7.193.55–7.556.31–14.74safer2.19–7.763.02–8.085.21–15.85
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.7752.68safe40.98–54.5645.90–59.47safer39.31–56.2344.22–61.14
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction414425839safe346–481359–492705–973safer328–499341–509669–1008
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction62.6370.26safe58.60–66.6665.93–74.58safer57.30–67.9564.62–75.89
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1611.0425.20safe11.32–17.008.09–13.9819.42–30.98safer10.57–17.757.34–14.7317.91–32.49
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.743.67safe0.78–3.100.64–2.831.42–5.93safer0.47–3.400.35–3.120.83–6.51
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.803.94safe1.08–3.180.67–2.931.76–6.11safer0.82–3.450.38–3.221.20–6.67
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.252.866.11safe1.81–4.681.30–4.423.11–9.10safer1.42–5.070.88–4.842.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 2.82 0.99–4.64 0.51–5.12 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.80 3.06–6.54 2.59–7.01 | 9.30 5.69–12.90 4.74–13.86 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.36–17.21 8.27–18.30 | 14.29 10.72–17.85 9.76–18.81 | 27.57 20.08–35.06 18.03–37.11 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.28–11.16 4.45–11.99 | 9.13 6.45–11.81 5.72–12.55 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.51–6.36 | 3.96 2.31–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 7.89 4.35–11.43 3.32–12.46 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Corners | 4.98 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.08 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 47.77 40.98–54.56 39.31–56.23 | 52.68 45.90–59.47 44.22–61.14 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 414 346–481 328–499 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 839 705–973 669–1008 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.63 58.60–66.66 57.30–67.95 | 70.26 65.93–74.58 64.62–75.89 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 14.16 11.32–17.00 10.57–17.75 | 11.04 8.09–13.98 7.34–14.73 | 25.20 19.42–30.98 17.91–32.49 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.47–3.40 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.51 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.94 1.76–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.25 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.11 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+