Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.642.72safe0.11–2.050.78–2.490.89–4.54safer0.00–2.300.56–2.720.42–5.02
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.669.42safe1.89–5.623.92–7.405.81–13.02safer1.40–6.113.45–7.874.86–13.98
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5216.4327.95safe7.60–15.4512.86–19.9920.46–35.44safer6.51–16.5411.90–20.9518.41–37.49
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8610.3917.25safe3.92–9.817.71–13.0711.63–22.88safer3.09–10.646.97–13.8110.06–24.44
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.686.91safe1.35–5.112.02–5.333.37–10.44safer0.80–5.661.53–5.822.33–11.48
Corners
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.795.3710.16safe2.57–7.003.37–7.375.95–14.37safer2.00–7.572.84–7.914.84–15.48
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.6055.68safe37.81–51.3948.89–62.46safer36.14–53.0647.22–64.13
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction421512933safe354–488445–578799–1066safer336–506428–596763–1102
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction66.1475.28safe62.11–70.1770.96–79.61safer60.81–71.4669.65–80.92
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7712.0023.78safe8.94–14.619.06–14.9517.99–29.56safer8.18–15.378.31–15.7016.49–31.06
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.723.71safe0.83–3.150.63–2.821.46–5.97safer0.53–3.450.34–3.100.87–6.56
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.823.58safe0.72–2.810.69–2.951.41–5.76safer0.45–3.080.40–3.240.85–6.32
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
57%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.606.16safe2.13–5.001.04–4.153.17–9.15safer1.74–5.390.62–4.582.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.64 0.78–2.49 0.56–2.72 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.89–5.62 1.40–6.11 | 5.66 3.92–7.40 3.45–7.87 | 9.42 5.81–13.02 4.86–13.98 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.52 7.60–15.45 6.51–16.54 | 16.43 12.86–19.99 11.90–20.95 | 27.95 20.46–35.44 18.41–37.49 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.86 3.92–9.81 3.09–10.64 | 10.39 7.71–13.07 6.97–13.81 | 17.25 11.63–22.88 10.06–24.44 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.11 0.80–5.66 | 3.68 2.02–5.33 1.53–5.82 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.48 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.91 | 10.16 5.95–14.37 4.84–15.48 | 37% 51% |
| Possession % | 44.60 37.81–51.39 36.14–53.06 | 55.68 48.89–62.46 47.22–64.13 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 421 354–488 336–506 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 933 799–1066 763–1102 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.14 62.11–70.17 60.81–71.46 | 75.28 70.96–79.61 69.65–80.92 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.77 8.94–14.61 8.18–15.37 | 12.00 9.06–14.95 8.31–15.70 | 23.78 17.99–29.56 16.49–31.06 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.72 0.63–2.82 0.34–3.10 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.72–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.58 1.41–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.60 1.04–4.15 0.62–4.58 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 57% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.