Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.242.69safe0.48–2.420.39–2.100.87–4.51safer0.23–2.670.16–2.330.39–4.99
Shots on target
50%
13%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.208.93safe2.86–6.592.46–5.945.32–12.53safer2.37–7.081.99–6.414.37–13.49
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3313.2827.62safe10.41–18.269.72–16.8520.13–35.10safer9.32–19.358.76–17.8118.08–37.16
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.897.9917.88safe6.95–12.835.30–10.6712.25–23.50safer6.12–13.664.57–11.4010.69–25.07
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.633.477.11safe1.75–5.521.82–5.133.57–10.64safer1.21–6.061.33–5.622.54–11.68
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.664.6010.26safe3.44–7.872.60–6.606.05–14.47safer2.87–8.452.07–7.144.94–15.58
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.1347.92safe45.34–58.9241.14–54.71safer43.67–60.5939.47–56.38
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction458421879safe391–526354–487746–1013safer373–544337–505710–1049
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction66.3269.46safe62.29–70.3565.14–73.78safer61.00–71.6463.83–75.09
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3213.3723.68safe7.48–13.1510.42–16.3117.90–29.47safer6.72–13.919.67–17.0616.40–30.97
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.133.93safe0.63–2.951.04–3.231.67–6.18safer0.33–3.250.75–3.521.08–6.77
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.133.66safe0.48–2.581.00–3.261.48–5.84safer0.21–2.850.71–3.550.92–6.39
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.105.82safe1.29–4.161.54–4.652.83–8.81safer0.90–4.551.12–5.082.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.24 0.39–2.10 0.16–2.33 | 2.69 0.87–4.51 0.39–4.99 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.86–6.59 2.37–7.08 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.35 | 13.28 9.72–16.85 8.76–17.81 | 27.62 20.13–35.10 18.08–37.16 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.95–12.83 6.12–13.66 | 7.99 5.30–10.67 4.57–11.40 | 17.88 12.25–23.50 10.69–25.07 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.75–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 3.47 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.11 3.57–10.64 2.54–11.68 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.45 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.13 45.34–58.92 43.67–60.59 | 47.92 41.14–54.71 39.47–56.38 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 458 391–526 373–544 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.32 62.29–70.35 61.00–71.64 | 69.46 65.14–73.78 63.83–75.09 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 13.37 10.42–16.31 9.67–17.06 | 23.68 17.90–29.47 16.40–30.97 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.13 1.04–3.23 0.75–3.52 | 3.93 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.85 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.39 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 36% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+