Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.872.86safe0.02–1.961.01–2.721.04–4.68safer0.00–2.210.79–2.950.56–5.16
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.515.408.91safe1.65–5.373.66–7.145.31–12.52safer1.16–5.863.19–7.614.35–13.47
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4115.5526.95safe7.48–15.3311.98–19.1119.47–34.44safer6.39–16.4211.02–20.0717.42–36.49
Shots in box
18%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4410.7918.23safe4.50–10.398.11–13.4712.61–23.86safer3.67–11.227.37–14.2111.04–25.42
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.487.61safe1.24–5.012.83–6.144.07–11.14safer0.70–5.552.34–6.633.04–12.18
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.045.819.85safe1.83–6.253.81–7.815.63–14.06safer1.25–6.833.27–8.344.53–15.17
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction38.3462.50safe31.55–45.1355.71–69.28safer29.88–46.8054.04–70.96
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction364563927safe297–431496–629793–1060safer279–449479–647757–1096
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.9577.31safe57.92–65.9772.98–81.63safer56.62–67.2771.67–82.94
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3110.3621.68safe8.48–14.157.42–13.3115.89–27.46safer7.72–14.916.67–14.0614.39–28.96
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.813.71safe0.74–3.060.71–2.901.46–5.96safer0.44–3.370.42–3.190.87–6.55
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.543.51safe0.93–3.030.41–2.671.34–5.69safer0.66–3.290.12–2.960.78–6.25
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
57%
16%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.492.556.04safe2.05–4.931.00–4.113.05–9.04safer1.67–5.310.57–4.532.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.79–2.95 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.51 1.65–5.37 1.16–5.86 | 5.40 3.66–7.14 3.19–7.61 | 8.91 5.31–12.52 4.35–13.47 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.41 7.48–15.33 6.39–16.42 | 15.55 11.98–19.11 11.02–20.07 | 26.95 19.47–34.44 17.42–36.49 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.50–10.39 3.67–11.22 | 10.79 8.11–13.47 7.37–14.21 | 18.23 12.61–23.86 11.04–25.42 | 18% 75% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.01 0.70–5.55 | 4.48 2.83–6.14 2.34–6.63 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 4.04 1.83–6.25 1.25–6.83 | 5.81 3.81–7.81 3.27–8.34 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 38.34 31.55–45.13 29.88–46.80 | 62.50 55.71–69.28 54.04–70.96 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 364 297–431 279–449 | 563 496–629 479–647 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.95 57.92–65.97 56.62–67.27 | 77.31 72.98–81.63 71.67–82.94 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.48–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.06 | 21.68 15.89–27.46 14.39–28.96 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.37 | 1.81 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.19 | 3.71 1.46–5.96 0.87–6.55 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.51 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.05–4.93 1.67–5.31 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.53 | 6.04 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 57% 16% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+