Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.012.60safe0.61–2.550.16–1.870.77–4.42safer0.36–2.800.00–2.100.29–4.90
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.373.398.77safe3.51–7.241.65–5.145.16–12.37safer3.02–7.731.19–5.604.21–13.33
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.879.9125.79safe11.95–19.806.35–13.4818.30–33.28safer10.86–20.895.39–14.4416.25–35.33
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.927.4317.35safe6.98–12.874.74–10.1111.73–22.97safer6.15–13.704.01–10.8410.16–24.54
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.622.587.20safe2.74–6.500.92–4.233.66–10.73safer2.19–7.050.43–4.722.63–11.77
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.964.2910.25safe3.75–8.172.29–6.296.04–14.47safer3.17–8.751.76–6.834.93–15.58
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.3341.97safe50.54–64.1235.19–48.76safer48.87–65.7933.52–50.43
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction516368884safe449–584301–434750–1018safer431–602284–452715–1053
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction68.9367.48safe64.90–72.9663.16–71.80safer63.61–74.2561.85–73.11
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6611.9024.56safe9.83–15.508.95–14.8418.78–30.34safer9.07–16.268.20–15.5917.27–31.85
Offsides
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.583.02safe0.28–2.600.49–2.670.76–5.27safer0.00–2.900.20–2.960.17–5.86
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.943.55safe0.56–2.660.81–3.071.37–5.73safer0.29–2.920.52–3.360.81–6.29
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.455.72safe0.84–3.711.89–5.012.73–8.72safer0.45–4.101.47–5.431.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.60 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 51% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.24 3.02–7.73 | 3.39 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.60 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.95–19.80 10.86–20.89 | 9.91 6.35–13.48 5.39–14.44 | 25.79 18.30–33.28 16.25–35.33 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.87 6.15–13.70 | 7.43 4.74–10.11 4.01–10.84 | 17.35 11.73–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.62 2.74–6.50 2.19–7.05 | 2.58 0.92–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.75–8.17 3.17–8.75 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.58 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 57.33 50.54–64.12 48.87–65.79 | 41.97 35.19–48.76 33.52–50.43 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 516 449–584 431–602 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.93 64.90–72.96 63.61–74.25 | 67.48 63.16–71.80 61.85–73.11 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.66 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 11.90 8.95–14.84 8.20–15.59 | 24.56 18.78–30.34 17.27–31.85 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.44 0.28–2.60 0.00–2.90 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.02 0.76–5.27 0.17–5.86 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.55 1.37–5.73 0.81–6.29 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.45 1.89–5.01 1.47–5.43 | 5.72 2.73–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+